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ITI11 · ITH37

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NUTS-3 ITI11 · Italy
Population
186,7832025
GDP
€5,863M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,159.5 km²
NUTS-3 ITH37 · Italy
Population
227,1342025
GDP
€7,214M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,664.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Rovigo (Opportunity 47). Runner-up: Massa-Carrara (47). Contrarian pick: Massa-Carrara — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 100).

Strengths
Industrial base (68) · Cost advantage (56)
Red flags
Flood: 62% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Freight intensity (100) · Digital readiness (72)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Rovigo
Flood: 62% of population in the 100-year floodplain; Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 20) — Massa-Carrara may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Rovigo leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.8
47.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
44.0
53.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
53.7
45.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
57.7
40.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.3
27.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
39.4
37.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.5% 5y
2.1% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.9% 5y
13.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,389
€31,763
Population density
161 /km²
136 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,267M
€6,481M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€42M
€226M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,086M
€1,631M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€888M
€1,413M
GVA — construction (F)
€362M
€445M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,236M
€1,398M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,000
€23,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
32,500 PPS
32,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,300
€31,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€29,682M
€45,490M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€5,009M
€10,941M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€51,756M
€75,959M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€781M
€823M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€57M
€65M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,447M
€1,603M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,094M
€1,177M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,355M
€6,499M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€81,410
€77,309
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,267M
€1,690M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
73,200
95,700
Self-employed persons
20,200
23,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
10,100
20,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
71.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.1%
13.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.2%
3.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
87,200
103,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
16,145
16,145
Enterprise births
1,168
926
Enterprise deaths
904
929
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
3.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.8%
21.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.8%
33.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.7%
13.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.4%
17.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.9%
5.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.6%
94.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,307,588
1,534,490
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
744 /1k
680 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,339
19
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
24,278 kt
6,363 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
717
8
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
40 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
66
57
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
4
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
113,899
139,291
Population aged 65+
54,486
65,038
Population aged under 15
18,398
22,805
Median age of population
52.5 yrs
52.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
47.8%
46.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.1 /1k
-1.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.3 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.1 /1k
4.9 /1k
Crude death rate
13.4 /1k
12.8 /1k
Live births
946
1,107
Deaths
2,502
2,913
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
64.0%
63.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
1.05
Population density (persons per km²)
162 /km²
144 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
132,202
151,002
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.1%
14.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
84.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.8%
12.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
285 /100k
307 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
848 /100k
825 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
200 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
12.8 /100k
16.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
907 /100k
853 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
51 /M
55 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
134 m
3 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
20 days/yr
53 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
13 days/yr
34 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
24 days/yr
7 days/yr