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ITH55 · ITF47

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NUTS-3 ITH55 · Italy
Population
1,020,1932025
GDP
€50,851M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,706 km²
NUTS-3 ITF47 · Italy
Population
1,219,5452025
GDP
€33,939M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,815.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Bologna (Opportunity 63). Runner-up: Bari (50). Contrarian pick: Bari — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Economic base (91) · Demographic outlook (90)
No red flags
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Growth momentum (55)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Bologna
Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Bari may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Bologna leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
63.1
50.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
47.3
41.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
50.3
26.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
16.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
56.7
40.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
34.3
12.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
45.2
55.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.8% 5y
3.2% 5y
Population
0.0% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.3% 5y
2.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€49,845
€27,829
Population density
275 /km²
320 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€45,682M
€30,489M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€338M
€557M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€12,257M
€4,239M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€11,059M
€3,529M
GVA — construction (F)
€2,242M
€2,470M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€10,496M
€8,451M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€25,400
€17,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
51,900 PPS
28,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€50,100
€27,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€45,497M
€21,133M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€12,104M
€1,693M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€74,553M
€36,660M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€5,252M
€3,475M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€1,825M
€1,095M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€12,952M
€7,882M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€7,396M
€6,889M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€45,996M
€30,838M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€95,334
€68,064
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€12,088M
€7,904M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
549,500
514,300
Self-employed persons
114,400
124,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
99,600
56,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.5%
56.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.4%
32.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.1%
10.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
495,800
456,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
90,415
89,565
Enterprise births
6,685
6,476
Enterprise deaths
5,202
4,966
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
4.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.1%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.8%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.1%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
25.3%
18.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.2%
27.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.1%
8.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.2%
17.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.3%
4.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.2%
91.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
7,188,998
5,236,772
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
691 /1k
649 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
24,597 kt
15,796 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
112
16
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
11
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
31 km/1000km²
16 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
14
21
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
647,660
777,459
Population aged 65+
254,542
295,250
Population aged under 15
117,991
146,836
Median age of population
48.9 yrs
48.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
39.3%
38.0%
Crude rate of total population change
2.6 /1k
-1.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.7 /1k
1.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.5 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
10.1 /1k
Live births
6,573
7,902
Deaths
11,758
12,349
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
57.5%
56.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
1.17
Population density (persons per km²)
277 /km²
316 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
1,091,721
873,611
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
8.2%
35.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
6.7%
27.6%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
369 /100k
274 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
860 /100k
946 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
211 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
83.8 /100k
31.4 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,023 /100k
1,350 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
62 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
126 m
246 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
49 days/yr
48 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
24 days/yr
2 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
4 days/yr