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ITH43 · ITC12

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NUTS-3 ITH43 · Italy
Population
138,4272025
GDP
€4,740M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
398.7 km²
NUTS-3 ITC12 · Italy
Population
165,9102025
GDP
€5,630M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,078.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Vercelli (Opportunity 48). Runner-up: Gorizia (40). Contrarian pick: Gorizia — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 86).

Strengths
Industrial base (87) · Freight intensity (80)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 21 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (86) · Industrial base (79)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 21 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Vercelli
Air quality (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 21 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Air quality (EU pctl 9) — Gorizia may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVercelli · ManufacturingVercelli · OfficeGorizia · ResidentialGorizia.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
39.5
47.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
52.3
40.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
45.3
43.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
44.0
9.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
47.3
66.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.5
18.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
44.8
38.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
2.0% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.3% 5y
5.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€34,241
€33,936
Population density
347 /km²
80 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,258M
€5,058M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€61M
€121M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,188M
€1,642M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,087M
€1,484M
GVA — construction (F)
€282M
€314M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€794M
€849M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,800
€24,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,600 PPS
35,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,300
€34,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,531M
€44,851M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,200M
€10,323M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€18,713M
€61,911M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€511M
€634M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€33M
€61M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€985M
€1,238M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€948M
€894M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,305M
€5,159M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€81,833
€83,987
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,125M
€1,612M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
59,600
68,100
Self-employed persons
11,100
15,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,500
15,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.8%
73.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
12.9%
19.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.7%
6.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
64,300
76,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
8,317
11,364
Enterprise births
663
749
Enterprise deaths
478
670
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
3.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.7%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
3.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
24.1%
21.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
35.2%
29.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.7%
10.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.1%
16.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.1%
5.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.3%
93.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,088,921
401,644
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
695 /1k
723 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
678
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,987 kt
7,332 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
409
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
36 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
5
31
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
85,483
101,241
Population aged 65+
37,591
46,898
Population aged under 15
15,353
17,771
Median age of population
51.4 yrs
51.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
44.0%
46.3%
Crude rate of total population change
0.8 /1k
1.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.0 /1k
9.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
5.4 /1k
Crude death rate
12.1 /1k
13.9 /1k
Live births
823
902
Deaths
1,674
2,301
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
61.9%
63.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.27
1.13
Population density (persons per km²)
362 /km²
80 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
151,547
113,112
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
11.6%
16.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
9.1%
14.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
312 /100k
353 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
899 /100k
892 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
216 /100k
228 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.4 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
17.4 /100k
19.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
696 /100k
626 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
40 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
116 m
258 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
31 days/yr
19 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
42 days/yr
73 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
25 days/yr
19 days/yr