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ITH35 · ITC41

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NUTS-3 ITH35 · Italy
Population
834,3062025
GDP
€32,374M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,007.6 km²
NUTS-3 ITC41 · Italy
Population
882,5922025
GDP
€31,650M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,198.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Varese (Opportunity 65). Runner-up: Venezia (56). Contrarian pick: Venezia — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 76).

Strengths
Industrial base (80) · Demographic outlook (73)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (76) · Economic base (73)
Red flags
Flood: 26% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 14 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Varese
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Venezia may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVenezia · ManufacturingVenezia · OfficeVarese · ResidentialVarese.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
56.0
65.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
39.8
41.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
42.5
48.9
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
54.7
64.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
27.3
29.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
42.4
39.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.2% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.7% 5y
10.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€38,803
€35,861
Population density
416 /km²
736 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€29,083M
€28,433M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€409M
€155M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€5,425M
€7,803M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€4,538M
€7,402M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,869M
€1,416M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€8,668M
€6,582M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,500
€26,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,200 PPS
37,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,700
€36,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€45,490M
€101,220M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€10,941M
€19,922M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€75,959M
€188,904M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€3,604M
€3,797M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€755M
€638M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€7,543M
€8,073M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€5,169M
€4,402M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€29,162M
€28,819M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€86,056
€90,419
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€7,583M
€6,630M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
385,800
360,600
Self-employed persons
83,100
79,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
55,900
86,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.8%
71.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
13.7%
10.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.4%
2.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
386,500
406,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
67,239
66,562
Enterprise births
4,832
4,858
Enterprise deaths
3,710
3,839
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.4%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
5.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.4%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
21.8%
23.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
33.3%
34.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.3%
11.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.0%
18.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.0%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.5%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
38,555,987
3,269,803
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
680 /1k
640 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,717
1,560
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
32,451 kt
16,055 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
206
177
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
40 km/1000km²
32 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
24
24
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
521,219
554,917
Population aged 65+
221,084
221,133
Population aged under 15
92,003
106,542
Median age of population
51.0 yrs
49.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.4%
39.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.3 /1k
2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.4 /1k
7.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
6.2 /1k
Crude death rate
11.4 /1k
10.8 /1k
Live births
4,710
5,471
Deaths
9,512
9,517
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.1%
59.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
1.19
Population density (persons per km²)
433 /km²
812 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
771,050
771,778
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
14.6%
12.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.6 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.4%
9.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
307 /100k
322 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
825 /100k
835 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
200 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
52.9 /100k
30.8 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,301 /100k
1,152 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
55 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
0 m
550 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
19 days/yr
6 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
21 days/yr
61 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
15 days/yr
25 days/yr