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ITF51 · ITI33

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NUTS-3 ITF51 · Italy
Population
340,9092025
GDP
€10,165M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
61.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,547 km²
NUTS-3 ITI33 · Italy
Population
302,0302025
GDP
€9,833M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,768.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Macerata (Opportunity 45). Runner-up: Potenza (43). Contrarian pick: Potenza — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Industrial base (76) · Cost advantage (64)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Macerata
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 16) — Potenza may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Macerata leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.4
45.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
34.5
43.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
41.7
43.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
36.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
19.0
32.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
18.3
24.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
40.8
38.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
1.0% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.4% 5y
1.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€29,818
€32,555
Population density
52 /km²
109 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,132M
€8,833M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€392M
€124M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,622M
€2,281M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,371M
€2,132M
GVA — construction (F)
€725M
€755M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,572M
€1,817M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€17,300
€21,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
30,600 PPS
33,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€29,500
€32,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€4,517M
€11,341M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€601M
€1,925M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€5,333M
€19,218M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€736M
€1,048M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€131M
€132M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,765M
€2,282M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,054M
€1,575M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,871M
€8,919M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€77,164
€71,869
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,143M
€2,294M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
133,500
140,800
Self-employed persons
35,600
38,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
19,000
32,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
60.7%
71.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
20.3%
21.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.3%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
135,600
138,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
24,172
27,869
Enterprise births
1,753
1,780
Enterprise deaths
1,354
1,631
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.6%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.4%
2.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
1.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
20.4%
24.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
31.0%
32.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.6%
10.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.7%
17.3%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.1%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.3%
94.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
744,095
1,760,517
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
738 /1k
718 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,928 kt
4,974 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
25
6
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
7
2
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
7 km/1000km²
20 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
105
53
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
215,122
185,853
Population aged 65+
89,739
81,216
Population aged under 15
36,048
34,961
Median age of population
50.5 yrs
50.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.7%
43.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-6.8 /1k
-3.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.3 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
6.0 /1k
Crude death rate
12.1 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
1,912
1,802
Deaths
4,152
3,806
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.5%
62.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.07
1.16
Population density (persons per km²)
52 /km²
109 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
205,359
243,595
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
25.1%
13.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
21.9%
12.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
315 /100k
284 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
906 /100k
865 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
197 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
6.7 /100k
11.2 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
318 /100k
571 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
60 /M
49 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
1,148 m
850 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
9 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
54 days/yr
60 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
10 days/yr