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ITF48 · ITG19

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NUTS-3 ITF48 · Italy
Population
377,0932025
GDP
€7,512M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,535.2 km²
NUTS-3 ITG19 · Italy
Population
383,2772025
GDP
€9,078M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,120.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Siracusa (Opportunity 39). Runner-up: Barletta-Andria-Trani (36). Contrarian pick: Barletta-Andria-Trani — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 64).

Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Growth momentum (53)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Demographic outlook (64)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Siracusa
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 1) — Barletta-Andria-Trani may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsSiracusa · ManufacturingSiracusa · OfficeBarletta-Andria-Trani · ResidentialSiracusa.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
36.1
38.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
42.5
33.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
22.2
27.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
12.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
27.7
25.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
12.0
7.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.0
53.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.9% 5y
5.1% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.9% 5y
13.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€19,920
€23,685
Population density
246 /km²
181 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,748M
€8,155M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€279M
€705M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€936M
€1,246M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€812M
€899M
GVA — construction (F)
€475M
€600M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,599M
€1,538M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€17,200
€16,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
20,600 PPS
24,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€19,800
€23,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€21,133M
€24,161M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,693M
€2,214M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€36,660M
€40,753M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,041M
€1,092M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€55M
€64M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,828M
€1,824M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,630M
€2,242M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,825M
€8,518M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€61,293
€74,617
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,749M
€2,080M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
126,400
123,800
Self-employed persons
37,300
28,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,500
10,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
56.8%
54.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.6%
33.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
10.0%
12.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
144,700
136,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,333
21,947
Enterprise births
1,787
1,993
Enterprise deaths
1,573
1,204
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.5%
16.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.8%
24.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.2%
7.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.2%
15.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
3.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.5%
90.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
588,157
2,116,989
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
649 /1k
733 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,221 kt
5,357 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
1
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
0
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
52
49
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
246,267
244,581
Population aged 65+
83,672
90,814
Population aged under 15
47,154
47,882
Median age of population
47.1 yrs
47.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.0%
37.1%
Crude rate of total population change
-2.2 /1k
-1.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.3 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
9.2 /1k
11.6 /1k
Live births
2,509
2,458
Deaths
3,460
4,431
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.1%
56.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.18
1.18
Population density (persons per km²)
253 /km²
183 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
284,806
285,288
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
35.0%
44.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
82.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.6%
38.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
274 /100k
288 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
946 /100k
1,031 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
211 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.8 /100k
1.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
40.6 /100k
20.1 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,725 /100k
1,186 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
62 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
229 m
334 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
59 days/yr
53 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
1 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
6 days/yr