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ITF44 · ITF13

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NUTS-3 ITF44 · Italy
Population
375,5672025
GDP
€8,364M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,849.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITF13 · Italy
Population
311,8762025
GDP
€9,401M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,227.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Pescara (Opportunity 44). Runner-up: Brindisi (36). Contrarian pick: Brindisi — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (70) · Cost advantage (66)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 20% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Connectivity (48)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Pescara
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Flood: 20% of population in the 100-year floodplain; Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 7) — Brindisi may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Pescara leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
35.9
43.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.5
43.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
29.4
35.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
27.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
48.3
42.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
12.0
26.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
43.2
42.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.9% 5y
3.3% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.9% 5y
7.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,271
€30,142
Population density
203 /km²
254 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,514M
€8,445M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€332M
€154M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,051M
€1,340M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€734M
€1,162M
GVA — construction (F)
€511M
€589M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,743M
€1,915M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€17,200
€19,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,900 PPS
31,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,100
€30,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€21,133M
€10,710M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,693M
€1,609M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€36,660M
€14,889M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,006M
€1,174M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€61M
€191M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,796M
€2,431M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,081M
€2,017M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,600M
€8,606M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€64,814
€76,056
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,948M
€2,586M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
133,100
127,500
Self-employed persons
35,400
34,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
13,100
14,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
56.8%
67.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.6%
26.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
10.0%
6.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
139,100
135,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
24,661
27,508
Enterprise births
2,065
2,145
Enterprise deaths
1,500
1,581
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.1%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.5%
24.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.8%
32.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.2%
10.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.2%
19.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
4.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.5%
93.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,927,109
1,555,862
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
649 /1k
728 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
2,723 kt
4,171 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,058
3
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
282
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
34 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
19
23
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
236,721
196,177
Population aged 65+
96,358
78,779
Population aged under 15
42,488
36,920
Median age of population
49.4 yrs
49.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.7%
40.2%
Crude rate of total population change
-4.4 /1k
-1.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.8 /1k
4.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.2 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
11.6 /1k
Live births
2,334
1,821
Deaths
4,313
3,620
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.7%
59.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.16
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
203 /km²
254 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
249,650
258,723
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
35.0%
24.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
83.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.6%
20.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
274 /100k
332 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
946 /100k
893 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
211 /100k
206 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.1 /100k
33.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
920 /100k
1,305 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
62 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
94 m
202 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
65 days/yr
41 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
18 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
10 days/yr