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ITF33 · PT1A0

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NUTS-3 ITF33 · Italy
Population
2,963,6332025
GDP
€72,904M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
13.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
50.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,170.7 km²
NUTS-3 PT1A0 · Portugal
Population
2,156,6122025
GDP
€90,686M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,343.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Grande Lisboa (Opportunity 70). Runner-up: Napoli (54). Contrarian pick: Napoli — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 73).

Strengths
Economic base (90) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (73) · Demographic outlook (59)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Grande Lisboa
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 2) — Napoli may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Grande Lisboa leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
54.1
69.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
33.5
54.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
20.8
59.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
2.7
33.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
56.0
66.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
11.3
87.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
51.6
79.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.8% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
8.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€24,600
€42,050
Population density
2,531 /km²
1,605 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€65,493M
€78,862M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€699M
€119M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€8,631M
€5,394M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€6,891M
€4,229M
GVA — construction (F)
€4,501M
€2,658M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€19,509M
€26,045M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,200
€18,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,400 PPS
51,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€24,500
€42,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€28,842M
€17,975M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,238M
€1,159M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€50,450M
€41,675M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€7,537M
€8,268M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€2,598M
€7,746M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€16,738M
€28,718M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€15,417M
€15,927M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€67,514M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€71,953
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€16,051M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
1,037,900
1,353,540
Self-employed persons
240,200
147,780
Employment in manufacturing (C)
110,200
63,570
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
54.4%
81.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
40.1%
20.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
13.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
1,095,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
197,640
356,570
Enterprise births
19,468
66,343
Enterprise deaths
10,888
41,742
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.5%
5.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
2.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
8.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
2.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.7%
43.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.1%
49.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.6%
20.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.8%
31.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.8%
14.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
90.9%
95.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
15,749,028
20,027,552
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
667 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
19,805 kt
11,122 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
5,835
11,393
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
37 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
197
528
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
18
13
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
1,947,248
1,373,075
Population aged 65+
606,732
473,716
Population aged under 15
409,653
309,821
Median age of population
45.1 yrs
44.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
31.2%
34.5%
Crude rate of total population change
-2.5 /1k
24.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.5 /1k
23.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.7 /1k
9.1 /1k
Crude death rate
9.7 /1k
8.7 /1k
Live births
22,934
21,645
Deaths
28,670
20,716
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
52.2%
57.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.30
1.65
Population density (persons per km²)
2,528 /km²
1,620 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
2,299,616
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
41.2%
16.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.0 yrs
82.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
35.6%
12.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
257 /100k
423 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,058 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
238 /100k
227 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.1 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
92.4 /100k
187 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
125 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,947 /100k
895 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
47 /M
28 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.045/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
216 m
369 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
21 days/yr
13 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
1 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
16 days/yr
6 days/yr