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ITC43 · ITH51

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NUTS-3 ITC43 · Italy
Population
333,7472025
GDP
€12,859M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
806.8 km²
NUTS-3 ITH51 · Italy
Population
286,4522025
GDP
€11,470M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,585.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lecco (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Piacenza (58). Contrarian pick: Piacenza — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Industrial base (94) · Economic base (73)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Freight intensity (94) · Demographic outlook (83)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Lecco
Long-run slide: down 25 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Piacenza may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Lecco leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
60.7
58.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
39.5
49.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
50.5
52.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
55.0
36.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.5
34.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
42.2
45.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.8% 5y
2.3% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
11.7% 5y
6.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€38,530
€40,042
Population density
414 /km²
111 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€11,552M
€10,304M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€103M
€289M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€4,197M
€2,698M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€4,050M
€2,392M
GVA — construction (F)
€686M
€534M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,992M
€2,528M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,600
€25,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,100 PPS
41,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,600
€40,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€101,220M
€45,497M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€19,922M
€12,104M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€188,904M
€74,553M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,410M
€1,244M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€148M
€174M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,145M
€2,619M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,429M
€1,634M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€11,709M
€10,375M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€92,895
€85,934
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,694M
€2,727M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
142,600
137,500
Self-employed persons
33,400
30,400
Employment in manufacturing (C)
45,100
25,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.7%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
10.9%
17.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
153,100
137,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,253
22,627
Enterprise births
1,794
1,575
Enterprise deaths
1,539
1,294
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.4%
3.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.3%
3.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
2.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.6%
25.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.0%
36.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.8%
13.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.7%
19.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
5.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
96.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,543,508
638,027
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
640 /1k
691 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
28
12
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,726 kt
16,810 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
8
4
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
32 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
36
74
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
208,574
179,280
Population aged 65+
85,700
72,950
Population aged under 15
39,473
34,222
Median age of population
49.8 yrs
49.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.1%
40.7%
Crude rate of total population change
1.4 /1k
3.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.6 /1k
9.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.1 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
10.3 /1k
12.0 /1k
Live births
2,050
1,909
Deaths
3,443
3,437
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.0%
59.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.23
1.28
Population density (persons per km²)
453 /km²
112 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
282,875
307,446
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
12.5%
8.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
84.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
9.2%
6.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
322 /100k
369 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
835 /100k
860 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
222 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
32.7 /100k
32.0 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
772 /100k
1,238 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
38 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
1,355 m
474 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
17 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
134 days/yr
41 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
25 days/yr
14 days/yr