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ITC41 · ITH34

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NUTS-3 ITC41 · Italy
Population
882,5922025
GDP
€31,650M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,198.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITH34 · Italy
Population
879,2552025
GDP
€35,823M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,483.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Varese (Opportunity 65). Runner-up: Treviso (60). Contrarian pick: Treviso — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Industrial base (80) · Demographic outlook (73)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Industrial base (90) · Demographic outlook (85)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 17 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Varese
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Treviso may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Varese leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
65.1
59.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.3
44.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.9
44.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
64.7
54.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.5
27.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
39.4
47.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.9% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.3% 5y
9.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,861
€40,742
Population density
736 /km²
354 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€28,433M
€32,181M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€155M
€996M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€7,803M
€10,446M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€7,402M
€9,965M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,416M
€2,078M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€6,582M
€5,804M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,600
€23,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,300 PPS
42,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€36,000
€40,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€101,220M
€45,490M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€19,922M
€10,941M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€188,904M
€75,959M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€3,797M
€4,013M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€638M
€569M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€8,073M
€8,741M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,402M
€4,117M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€28,819M
€32,268M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€90,419
€86,440
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€6,630M
€8,391M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
360,600
425,000
Self-employed persons
79,500
95,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
86,100
119,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.7%
71.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
10.9%
13.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
3.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
406,900
414,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
66,562
72,095
Enterprise births
4,858
4,851
Enterprise deaths
3,839
4,044
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.3%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.6%
21.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.0%
33.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.8%
13.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.7%
17.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
5.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
94.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,269,803
2,189,065
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
640 /1k
680 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,560
135
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
16,055 kt
33,592 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
177
15
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
32 km/1000km²
40 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
24
17
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
554,917
558,293
Population aged 65+
221,133
213,689
Population aged under 15
106,542
107,273
Median age of population
49.3 yrs
49.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
39.8%
38.3%
Crude rate of total population change
2.6 /1k
-0.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.2 /1k
3.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.2 /1k
6.3 /1k
Crude death rate
10.8 /1k
9.7 /1k
Live births
5,471
5,536
Deaths
9,517
8,543
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
57.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.19
1.23
Population density (persons per km²)
812 /km²
357 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
771,778
847,270
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
12.5%
14.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
84.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
9.2%
12.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
322 /100k
307 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
835 /100k
825 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
222 /100k
200 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
30.8 /100k
18.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,152 /100k
635 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
38 /M
55 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
550 m
68 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
26 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
61 days/yr
51 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
25 days/yr
17 days/yr