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ITC12 · ITC31

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NUTS-3 ITC12 · Italy
Population
165,9102025
GDP
€5,630M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,078.3 km²
NUTS-3 ITC31 · Italy
Population
209,3482025
GDP
€6,087M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,145.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Vercelli (Opportunity 48). Runner-up: Imperia (44). Contrarian pick: Imperia — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 61).

Strengths
Industrial base (87) · Freight intensity (80)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 21 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (61) · Cost advantage (55)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 24 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Vercelli
Air quality (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 21 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Air quality (EU pctl 9) — Imperia may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVercelli · ManufacturingVercelli · OfficeVercelli · ResidentialImperia.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
47.8
44.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
40.5
35.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
43.9
45.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
9.3
52.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
66.3
32.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
18.0
21.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
38.4
50.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.0% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.6% 5y
13.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€33,936
€29,075
Population density
80 /km²
183 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,058M
€5,468M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€121M
€294M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,642M
€368M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,484M
€237M
GVA — construction (F)
€314M
€390M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€849M
€1,418M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€24,400
€23,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,200 PPS
30,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,000
€29,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€44,851M
€12,797M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€10,323M
€1,274M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,911M
€21,326M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€634M
€1,152M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€61M
€45M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,238M
€1,748M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€894M
€1,251M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,159M
€5,432M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€83,987
€80,292
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,612M
€1,353M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
68,100
77,100
Self-employed persons
15,600
24,900
Employment in manufacturing (C)
15,000
3,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.5%
72.2%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.3%
20.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.0%
4.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
76,200
94,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
11,364
17,745
Enterprise births
749
1,386
Enterprise deaths
670
1,021
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.3%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.1%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.6%
3.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
21.2%
23.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
29.3%
28.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.0%
11.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.0%
17.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.0%
4.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
94.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
401,644
3,247,302
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
723 /1k
563 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
678
13
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,332 kt
1,309 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
409
6
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
36 km/1000km²
70 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
31
62
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
101,241
127,007
Population aged 65+
46,898
60,145
Population aged under 15
17,771
22,196
Median age of population
51.7 yrs
52.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
46.3%
47.4%
Crude rate of total population change
1.2 /1k
2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
9.7 /1k
10.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.4 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude death rate
13.9 /1k
13.9 /1k
Live births
902
1,212
Deaths
2,301
2,906
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.9%
64.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
1.21
Population density (persons per km²)
80 /km²
181 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
113,112
192,608
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.9%
19.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
83.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.0%
17.1%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
353 /100k
345 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
892 /100k
867 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
228 /100k
218 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.3 /100k
47.4 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
626 /100k
1,439 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
40 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
258 m
789 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
19 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
73 days/yr
37 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
19 days/yr
13 days/yr