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FRJ27 · FRI14

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NUTS-3 FRJ27 · France
Population
400,7462025
GDP
€11,389M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.3%2025
Active firms
93,5052026
Cadastral parcels
1,054,8072026
Area
5,776.7 km²
NUTS-3 FRI14 · France
Population
334,9952025
GDP
€10,715M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.4%2025
Active firms
83,9672026
Cadastral parcels
870,1522026
Area
5,384.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Tarn (Opportunity 49). Runner-up: Lot-et-Garonne (47). Contrarian pick: Lot-et-Garonne — leads the set on Digital readiness (EU pctl 73).

Strengths
Talent & skills (92) · Energy cost (88)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (88) · Talent & skills (74)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Tarn
Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 26) — Lot-et-Garonne may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsLot-et-Garonne · ManufacturingTarn · OfficeTarn · ResidentialTarn.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
48.5
46.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
67.5
71.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
59.1
54.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
69.7
68.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
40.7
26.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
91.8
74.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
42.0
39.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.8% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.0% 5y
1.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€28,420
€31,984
Population density
69 /km²
62 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
2,632
2,598
Firms per 1k pop
233
251

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,161M
€9,556M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€211M
€486M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,779M
€1,389M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,443M
€1,140M
GVA — construction (F)
€665M
€600M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,499M
€1,806M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,600
€24,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
26,200 PPS
29,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€28,500
€32,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,134M
€30,151M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,274M
€2,628M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€63,709M
€68,404M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,781M
€1,555M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€159M
€88M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,884M
€2,535M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,124M
€2,742M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,277M
€9,609M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,051
€81,126
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,540M
€2,419M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
145,000
134,600
Self-employed persons
23,800
19,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
15,400
13,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.9%
79.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.9%
18.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.5%
7.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
179,400
150,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
31,462
24,549
Enterprise births
3,962
2,968
Enterprise deaths
3,214
2,425
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.5%
5.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
4.1%
1.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
7.1%
4.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.7%
1.2%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
47.9%
44.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
56.4%
53.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
18.2%
18.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.7%
27.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
14.7%
8.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.4%
96.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
887,501
1,581,807
Mobility
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,442 kt
9,078 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,858
906
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
14 km/1000km²
21 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
464
271
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
65
106
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
231,030
189,526
Population aged 65+
109,362
94,472
Population aged under 15
60,354
50,997
Median age of population
48.3 yrs
48.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
47.3%
49.8%
Crude rate of total population change
4.1 /1k
1.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.2 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
7.7 /1k
Crude death rate
11.2 /1k
12.5 /1k
Live births
2,818
2,564
Deaths
4,473
4,175
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
73.5%
76.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.47
1.58
Population density (persons per km²)
70 /km²
63 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
358,056
291,563
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
23.3%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
18.9%
15.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
564 /100k
545 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
780 /100k
807 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
211 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.8 /100k
1.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
25.3 /100k
26.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
382 /100k
438 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
926 /100k
1,337 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
60 /M
57 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.46
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.27
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.39
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.02
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.053/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
195 m
36 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
24 days/yr
34 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
19 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
4 days/yr