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ES640 · BE342

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NUTS-3 ES640 · Spain
Population
87,0672025
GDP
€1,754M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
24.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
11.8 km²
NUTS-3 BE342 · Belgium
Population
52,2442025
GDP
€1,547M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,050.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Arr. Bastogne (Opportunity 45). Runner-up: Melilla (16). Contrarian pick: Melilla — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Air quality (99) · Connectivity (73)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Demographic outlook (83)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 12 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Arr. Bastogne
Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 17) — Melilla may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Arr. Bastogne leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
16.4
45.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
35.8
63.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
43.1
47.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
30.3
99.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
35.5
73.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
40.0
70.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
17.6
50.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.6% 5y
2.8% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.8% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.8% 5y
5.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€20,140
€29,612
Population density
7,404 /km²
50 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€1,699M
€1,400M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1M
€55M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€58M
€205M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€17M
€172M
GVA — construction (F)
€85M
€123M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€332M
€264M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,900
€27,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
23,000 PPS
26,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€20,500
€29,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€387M
€2,495M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1M
€243M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€1,117M
€4,990M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€222M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€4M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€375M
€372M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€848M
€381M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,649M
€1,298M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€56,124
€99,707
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€439M
€419M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
33,300
16,000
Self-employed persons
4,300
3,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
200
1,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
63.3%
72.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
60.2%
15.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
24.7%
6.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
37,200
24,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
4,751
Enterprise births
495
Enterprise deaths
478
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.4%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.4%
0.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
30.0%
43.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.2%
46.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.5%
14.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.0%
27.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.2%
9.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.5%
93.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
133,821
918,949
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
615 /1k
523 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
150 kt
1,616 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,142
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
35 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2,186
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
35
62
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
58,987
34,187
Population aged 65+
11,039
8,842
Population aged under 15
17,041
9,215
Median age of population
36.7 yrs
39.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
18.7%
25.9%
Crude rate of total population change
12.5 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.3 /1k
4.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.2 /1k
9.9 /1k
Crude death rate
5.0 /1k
7.7 /1k
Live births
795
516
Deaths
434
401
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
47.6%
52.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.36
1.51
Population density (persons per km²)
6,180 /km²
50 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
94,454
48,630
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
43.7%
15.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.3 yrs
80.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
39.3%
11.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
193 /100k
390 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,062 /100k
1,045 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
206 /100k
235 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
1.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
123 /100k
61.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
119 /100k
480 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
315 /100k
819 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
11 /M
93 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.31
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
1.41
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
1.34
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
1.58
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.25
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.130/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.046/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
51 m
451 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
21 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
68 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
4 days/yr