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ES620 · ES617

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NUTS-3 ES620 · Spain
Population
1,586,9892025
GDP
€39,839M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
69.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
11,330.9 km²
NUTS-3 ES617 · Spain
Population
1,791,1832025
GDP
€41,235M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
15.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
65.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,317.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Málaga (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Murcia (59). Contrarian pick: Murcia — leads the set on Digital readiness (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Growth momentum (86)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Digital readiness (90)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Málaga
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 3) — Murcia may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsMurcia · ManufacturingMurcia · OfficeMálaga · ResidentialMálaga.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.1
60.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
56.8
37.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
38.3
37.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
16.7
24.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
29.7
49.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
46.3
46.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
73.0
85.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.9% 5y
5.9% 5y
Population
1.0% 5y
1.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.7% 5y
6.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€25,103
€23,021
Population density
140 /km²
245 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€36,306M
€37,628M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€2,311M
€1,133M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€7,516M
€2,287M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€5,676M
€1,323M
GVA — construction (F)
€2,126M
€3,233M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€9,371M
€11,214M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,800
€14,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
28,700 PPS
26,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€25,500
€23,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,463M
€38,703M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,244M
€2,996M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€20,436M
€98,864M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€7,126M
€10,924M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€7,857M
€8,838M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€36,831M
€37,932M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€63,894
€62,349
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€8,465M
€9,078M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
671,900
709,100
Self-employed persons
99,500
126,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
77,000
26,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.6%
71.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
25.4%
32.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.1%
15.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
792,000
870,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
99,842
150,217
Enterprise births
9,377
17,619
Enterprise deaths
8,030
13,087
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.3%
3.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.0%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
35.2%
36.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
44.3%
45.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.8%
13.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.0%
21.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.8%
5.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
98.4%
96.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,710,567
30,456,704
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
543 /1k
535 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
68,387 kt
33,839 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
30
1,150
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
54 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
64
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
55
14
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
1,073,255
1,206,590
Population aged 65+
270,334
339,636
Population aged under 15
243,400
244,957
Median age of population
42.8 yrs
44.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
25.2%
28.1%
Crude rate of total population change
11.7 /1k
9.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
11.2 /1k
10.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.9 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
7.4 /1k
7.7 /1k
Live births
12,504
11,719
Deaths
11,708
13,785
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
47.9%
48.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.32
1.07
Population density (persons per km²)
140 /km²
245 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
1,599,781
1,797,664
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
32.5%
34.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
82.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.7%
27.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
293 /100k
217 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
932 /100k
972 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
213 /100k
217 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
1.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
137 /100k
105 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
396 /100k
290 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
338 /100k
564 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
53 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
630 m
313 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
77 days/yr
52 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
8 days/yr
0 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
4 days/yr