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ES613 · ES431

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NUTS-3 ES613 · Spain
Population
773,1632025
GDP
€17,217M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
15.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
65.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
13,776.7 km²
NUTS-3 ES431 · Spain
Population
665,1552025
GDP
€14,927M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
14.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
21,773.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Córdoba (Opportunity 49). Runner-up: Badajoz (47). Contrarian pick: Badajoz — leads the set on Digital readiness (EU pctl 71).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Cost advantage (78)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Cost advantage (77)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Córdoba
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 5) — Badajoz may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Córdoba leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
49.2
46.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.3
42.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
38.2
42.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
27.0
57.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
12.0
9.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
46.8
51.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
56.6
54.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.8% 5y
2.1% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.5% 5y
8.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,269
€22,441
Population density
56 /km²
31 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€15,711M
€13,591M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,480M
€1,023M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,187M
€1,877M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,786M
€1,208M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,059M
€928M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,082M
€2,899M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,700
€15,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
24,900 PPS
25,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,200
€22,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€38,703M
€4,835M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,996M
€488M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€98,864M
€11,520M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,532M
€2,733M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€4,370M
€4,132M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,838M
€13,277M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€64,009
€60,835
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,791M
€3,250M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
288,400
262,700
Self-employed persons
46,700
48,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
32,600
18,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.4%
72.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.7%
37.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
15.2%
14.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
365,100
321,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
49,913
42,263
Enterprise births
4,012
3,312
Enterprise deaths
3,724
3,017
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
0.7%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.0%
2.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
36.7%
34.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.4%
49.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.7%
14.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.4%
20.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.7%
6.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.5%
96.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,375,058
1,653,651
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
535 /1k
631 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
20,694 kt
21,948 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2
13
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
31 km/1000km²
17 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
0
2
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
110
144
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
505,745
436,343
Population aged 65+
166,890
143,172
Population aged under 15
100,528
85,640
Median age of population
46.5 yrs
46.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
33.0%
32.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.5 /1k
-1.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
1.6 /1k
2.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.9 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
10.0 /1k
10.3 /1k
Live births
5,327
4,364
Deaths
7,749
6,827
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
52.9%
52.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.21
1.15
Population density (persons per km²)
57 /km²
31 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
527,656
424,590
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
34.7%
30.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.9 yrs
83.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.7%
26.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
217 /100k
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
972 /100k
925 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
217 /100k
213 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
48.0 /100k
32.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
237 /100k
273 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
181 /100k
162 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
41 /M
42 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
411 m
277 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
103 days/yr
95 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
5 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
2 days/yr