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ES532 · LT011

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NUTS-3 ES532 · Spain
Population
971,0682025
GDP
€33,319M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,638 km²
NUTS-3 LT011 · Lithuania
Population
876,7272025
GDP
€36,174M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
84.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
9,739.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Vilniaus apskritis (Opportunity 61). Runner-up: Mallorca (59). Contrarian pick: Mallorca — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 98).

Strengths
Labour market (96) · Economic base (92)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (98) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Vilniaus apskritis
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 11) — Mallorca may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVilniaus apskritis · ManufacturingVilniaus apskritis · OfficeMallorca · ResidentialMallorca.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.2
60.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
29.8
45.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.5
45.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
46.0
20.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
46.3
53.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
48.5
90.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
80.4
83.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
7.1% 5y
4.2% 5y
Population
1.2% 5y
1.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
11.5% 5y
5.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€34,312
€41,260
Population density
267 /km²
90 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€30,367M
€32,397M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€135M
€230M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,672M
€3,921M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€744M
€3,180M
GVA — construction (F)
€2,363M
€2,050M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€10,997M
€10,879M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,100
€17,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
39,400 PPS
53,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,100
€41,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,927M
€7,420M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€144M
€432M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€19,108M
€17,804M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,896M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€2,913M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€9,125M
€8,593M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€6,075M
€6,724M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€30,792M
€26,296M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€81,394
€75,780
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€9,040M
€8,102M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
441,000
512,850
Self-employed persons
67,300
49,890
Employment in manufacturing (C)
16,600
54,860
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.3%
82.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.1%
11.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.8%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
525,300
520,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
83,485
144,886
Enterprise births
8,848
28,204
Enterprise deaths
6,897
22,446
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.5%
6.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.5%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
11.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
35.2%
65.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.2%
77.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.7%
12.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.5%
41.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.7%
15.8%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.9%
92.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
55,265,587
2,616,927
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
616 /1k
562 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
17,741 kt
10,313 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,576
3,662
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
19 km/1000km²
12 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
162
418
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
15
21
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
672,172
582,521
Population aged 65+
167,508
156,408
Population aged under 15
131,388
137,798
Median age of population
43.2 yrs
41.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
24.9%
26.9%
Crude rate of total population change
13.8 /1k
9.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.0 /1k
13.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.4 /1k
7.4 /1k
Crude death rate
7.5 /1k
10.8 /1k
Live births
7,125
6,490
Deaths
7,281
9,463
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
44.5%
50.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.11
1.10
Population density (persons per km²)
266 /km²
93 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
1,372,937
712,307
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
15.2%
16.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
78.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
11.6%
14.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
277 /100k
592 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
807 /100k
1,610 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
220 /100k
246 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
3.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
116 /100k
20.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
271 /100k
30.8 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
959 /100k
653 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
29 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.94
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
1.19
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
1.23
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.86
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.96
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.136/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.050/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
129 m
158 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
73 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
114 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr