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ES531 · ES424

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NUTS-3 ES531 · Spain
Population
175,9552025
GDP
€5,635M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
662.7 km²
NUTS-3 ES424 · Spain
Population
285,8392025
GDP
€6,879M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,209.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Guadalajara (Opportunity 50). Runner-up: Eivissa y Formentera (45). Contrarian pick: Eivissa y Formentera — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 99).

Strengths
Freight intensity (95) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (99) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Guadalajara
Labour market (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 13) — Eivissa y Formentera may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsGuadalajara · ManufacturingGuadalajara · OfficeEivissa y Formentera · ResidentialEivissa y Formentera.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
44.9
49.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
26.8
50.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.5
42.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
52.5
51.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
35.0
25.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
48.5
45.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
87.0
78.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
10.6% 5y
3.2% 5y
Population
1.3% 5y
1.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
11.2% 5y
3.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€32,024
€24,064
Population density
266 /km²
23 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,139M
€6,277M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€17M
€369M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€192M
€1,939M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€80M
€938M
GVA — construction (F)
€503M
€336M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,487M
€1,023M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,100
€15,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
36,800 PPS
27,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,800
€24,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,927M
€9,963M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€144M
€1,892M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€19,108M
€23,774M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,214M
€1,312M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€726M
€1,298M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,207M
€6,127M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,506
€81,627
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,529M
€1,479M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
75,400
91,000
Self-employed persons
13,800
14,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
1,800
11,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.3%
74.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
17.1%
27.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.9%
12.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
101,100
148,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
17,586
14,569
Enterprise births
2,207
1,415
Enterprise deaths
1,562
1,223
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
4.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.5%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
3.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
35.2%
33.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.2%
47.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.7%
14.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.5%
18.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.7%
5.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.9%
96.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
11,859,783
769,292
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
616 /1k
599 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,470 kt
17,989 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
98
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
19 km/1000km²
23 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
34
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
12
95
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
129,427
196,402
Population aged 65+
24,079
48,526
Population aged under 15
22,449
40,911
Median age of population
41.9 yrs
44.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
18.6%
24.7%
Crude rate of total population change
17.1 /1k
19.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
15.1 /1k
21.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.5 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
5.5 /1k
7.7 /1k
Live births
1,315
1,850
Deaths
965
2,190
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
35.9%
45.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.98
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
269 /km²
23 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
231,115
211,456
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
15.2%
34.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
83.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
11.6%
25.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
277 /100k
236 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
807 /100k
837 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
220 /100k
206 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
2.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
167 /100k
40.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
353 /100k
282 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,241 /100k
232 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
73 m
1,074 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
48 days/yr
42 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
53 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
4 days/yr