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ES511 · PL911

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NUTS-3 ES511 · Spain
Population
5,959,9412025
GDP
€209,564M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,723.4 km²
NUTS-3 PL911 · Poland
Population
1,875,2872025
GDP
€108,751M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
86.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
516.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Miasto Warszawa (Opportunity 73). Runner-up: Barcelona (72). Contrarian pick: Barcelona — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Labour market (100) · Economic base (98)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Demographic outlook (91)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Miasto Warszawa
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Air quality (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 5) — Barcelona may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Miasto Warszawa leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
71.9
73.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
42.5
40.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.1
58.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
18.3
9.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
49.0
60.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
76.8
95.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
68.4
84.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.2% 5y
4.5% 5y
Population
0.9% 5y
0.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.6% 5y
0.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,162
€57,992
Population density
772 /km²
3,634 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€190,895M
€98,264M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€880M
€32M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€35,438M
€12,508M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€29,449M
€4,740M
GVA — construction (F)
€9,083M
€5,714M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€55,126M
€34,332M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,900
€15,300
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,300 PPS
81,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,900
€55,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€57,689M
€25,304M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€9,484M
€1,739M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€147,909M
€54,507M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€55,293M
€33,600M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€35,076M
€12,078M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€198,856M
€90,845M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€78,611
€89,869
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€48,409M
€23,442M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
2,865,100
1,482,700
Self-employed persons
368,800
266,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
341,000
103,900
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.4%
83.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.1%
10.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.4%
2.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
3,145,800
1,046,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
489,832
270,470
Enterprise births
46,485
38,762
Enterprise deaths
39,035
30,524
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.9%
2.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.6%
11.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
3.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.9%
65.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
57.5%
69.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.2%
18.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
28.1%
45.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.8%
16.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
98.5%
97.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
41,221,572
8,021,740
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
450 /1k
685 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
141,294 kt
16,134 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
10,112
4,459
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
170
238
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
46 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
52
9
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
4,007,868
1,228,932
Population aged 65+
1,174,289
371,451
Population aged under 15
777,784
274,904
Median age of population
44.4 yrs
41.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
29.3%
30.2%
Crude rate of total population change
13.9 /1k
3.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
15.6 /1k
4.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
7.9 /1k
Crude death rate
8.2 /1k
9.2 /1k
Live births
39,034
14,859
Deaths
48,823
17,254
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
48.7%
52.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.04
0.98
Population density (persons per km²)
767 /km²
3,700 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
7,319,537
1,813,849
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
21.3%
7.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
79.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.3%
6.1%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
360 /100k
537 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
806 /100k
1,339 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
208 /100k
268 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
371 /100k
14.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
342 /100k
187 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,112 /100k
542 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
32 /M
27 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
368 m
86 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
45 days/yr
10 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
21 days/yr
82 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
2 days/yr