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ES424 · RO115

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NUTS-3 ES424 · Spain
Population
285,8392025
GDP
€6,879M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,209.5 km²
NUTS-3 RO115 · Romania
Population
330,4662025
GDP
€4,126M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,421.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Guadalajara (Opportunity 50). Runner-up: Satu Mare (26). Contrarian pick: Satu Mare — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Freight intensity (95) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (96) · Industrial base (72)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Guadalajara
Labour market (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 13) — Satu Mare may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Guadalajara leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
49.8
25.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.3
57.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
42.1
19.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
51.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
25.7
17.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
45.3
13.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
78.0
46.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.2% 5y
2.2% 5y
Population
1.7% 5y
0.0% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.9% 5y
9.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€24,064
€12,486
Population density
23 /km²
75 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,277M
€3,739M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€369M
€196M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,939M
€938M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€938M
€861M
GVA — construction (F)
€336M
€427M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,023M
€854M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,800
€9,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
27,800 PPS
20,700 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€24,800
€12,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,963M
€8,805M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,892M
€1,026M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€23,774M
€16,038M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€285M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€65M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,312M
€515M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,298M
€809M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,127M
€3,087M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€81,627
€31,323
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,479M
€955M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
91,000
146,640
Self-employed persons
14,700
37,920
Employment in manufacturing (C)
11,700
32,020
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.4%
68.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
27.6%
28.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.7%
5.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
148,300
149,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
14,569
14,475
Enterprise births
1,415
1,496
Enterprise deaths
1,223
905
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
6.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.6%
0.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.4%
0.2%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
33.3%
18.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
47.4%
22.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
14.0%
7.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.8%
15.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.6%
7.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.3%
94.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
769,292
176,925
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
599 /1k
436 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
17,989 kt
8,359 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
98
57
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
3 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
34
17
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
95
90
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
196,402
218,543
Population aged 65+
48,526
59,078
Population aged under 15
40,911
52,845
Median age of population
44.0 yrs
42.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
24.7%
27.0%
Crude rate of total population change
19.8 /1k
-0.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
21.0 /1k
3.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.5 /1k
7.6 /1k
Crude death rate
7.7 /1k
12.1 /1k
Live births
1,850
2,526
Deaths
2,190
4,000
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
45.5%
51.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.12
1.38
Population density (persons per km²)
23 /km²
75 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
211,456
225,873
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
34.0%
27.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.9 yrs
76.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
25.9%
15.6%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
236 /100k
753 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
837 /100k
1,857 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
206 /100k
255 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.1 /100k
1.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
40.3 /100k
5.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
282 /100k
57.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
232 /100k
52.3 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
65 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.20
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.39
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.44
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.07
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.55
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.155/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.051/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
1,074 m
118 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
42 days/yr
26 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
53 days/yr
71 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr