NUTS-3 ES418 · Spain
Population
528,6442025
GDP
€16,425M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
8,115.2 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ES418 · ITH58
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Forlì-Cesena (Opportunity 55). Runner-up: Valladolid (53). Contrarian pick: Valladolid — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (75)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Forlì-Cesena
Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Valladolid may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: Logistics → Forlì-Cesena · Manufacturing → Valladolid · Office → Forlì-Cesena · Residential → Forlì-Cesena.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
53.4
54.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
47.0
58.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.6
50.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
43.7
—
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
17.3
38.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
34.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
54.8
43.4
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.1% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.6% 5y
5.0% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€31,071
€39,683
Population density
65 /km²
166 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,905M
€14,023M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€371M
€567M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,938M
€3,497M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,910M
€3,078M
GVA — construction (F)
€681M
€893M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,219M
€3,133M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€25,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,200 PPS
41,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,400
€39,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€45,497M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€12,104M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€74,553M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
—
€2,016M
GVA — information & communication (J)
—
€207M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,307M
€3,722M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,388M
€2,210M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,077M
€14,119M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€74,524
€83,708
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,606M
€3,711M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
237,100
192,100
Self-employed persons
34,900
45,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
34,600
37,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
17.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.6%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
257,300
188,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
32,860
33,277
Enterprise births
2,319
2,117
Enterprise deaths
2,185
1,891
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
3.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
2.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
25.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
36.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
13.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
19.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
5.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
96.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,561,276
5,803,947
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
691 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
21,758 kt
9,712 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
75
8
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
14
2
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
165
46
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
333,453
246,581
Population aged 65+
132,920
100,393
Population aged under 15
62,271
46,393
Median age of population
49.2 yrs
49.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
39.9%
40.7%
Crude rate of total population change
6.7 /1k
1.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
10.7 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.8 /1k
5.9 /1k
Crude death rate
9.8 /1k
11.2 /1k
Live births
3,048
2,335
Deaths
5,140
4,383
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.5%
59.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.14
1.17
Population density (persons per km²)
65 /km²
165 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
328,102
388,360
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
8.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
84.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
6.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
369 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
860 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
33.1 /100k
35.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
245 /100k
—
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
164 /100k
1,124 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
702 m
363 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
52 days/yr
35 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
42 days/yr
30 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
10 days/yr