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ES417 · DE936

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NUTS-3 ES417 · Spain
Population
90,1832025
GDP
€2,825M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
10,301.9 km²
NUTS-3 DE936 · Germany
Population
113,5982025
GDP
€3,117M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
653 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Osterholz (Opportunity 48). Runner-up: Soria (38). Contrarian pick: Soria — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Connectivity (77) · Labour market (72)
No red flags
Strengths
Freight intensity (97) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Osterholz
Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 19) — Soria may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsSoria · ManufacturingSoria · OfficeSoria · ResidentialOsterholz.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
37.8
47.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
43.8
66.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.8
54.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
58.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
15.3
76.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
52.2
53.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.5% 5y
0.7% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.8% 5y
3.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,330
€27,435
Population density
9 /km²
174 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,578M
€2,847M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€94M
€101M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€700M
€461M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€519M
€336M
GVA — construction (F)
€175M
€236M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€567M
€545M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€28,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,300 PPS
24,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,500
€27,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€16,211M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€1,023M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€31,011M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€435M
€691M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€606M
€813M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,594M
€2,628M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€69,565
€77,969
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€620M
€818M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
43,700
42,770
Self-employed persons
7,200
5,650
Employment in manufacturing (C)
8,800
4,870
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
80.2%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.5%
3.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
43,400
55,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
5,755
3,688
Enterprise births
389
289
Enterprise deaths
346
317
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.2%
4.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
31.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
30.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
8.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
21.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
8.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
882,604
162,463
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
653 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
6,449 kt
1,797 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
4
859
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
4
756
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
140
24
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
56,232
68,849
Population aged 65+
23,482
28,258
Population aged under 15
10,469
16,491
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
49.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.8%
41.0%
Crude rate of total population change
1.2 /1k
-1.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.6 /1k
4.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
7.0 /1k
Crude death rate
12.7 /1k
12.7 /1k
Live births
480
794
Deaths
1,148
1,439
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.4%
65.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.05
1.38
Population density (persons per km²)
9 /km²
176 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
57,615
93,540
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
20.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
80.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
14.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
1,033 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
242 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
20.0 /100k
43.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
352 /100k
305 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
138 /100k
665 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
967 m
42 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
42 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
60 days/yr
41 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr