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ES416 · ITG15

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NUTS-3 ES416 · Spain
Population
158,2512025
GDP
€4,408M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,928.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITG15 · Italy
Population
245,4212025
GDP
€5,072M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,135.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Segovia (Opportunity 48). Runner-up: Caltanissetta (33). Contrarian pick: Caltanissetta — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 71).

Strengths
Freight intensity (99) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Growth momentum (52)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Segovia
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 9) — Caltanissetta may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Segovia leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
47.7
33.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
51.3
35.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
49.5
28.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
43.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
26.7
12.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
7.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
69.4
51.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.0% 5y
3.4% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.8% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.4% 5y
0.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€27,855
€20,665
Population density
23 /km²
115 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,023M
€4,556M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€202M
€282M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€700M
€434M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€582M
€241M
GVA — construction (F)
€349M
€426M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,012M
€879M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€16,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,700 PPS
21,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€28,300
€20,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€24,161M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€2,214M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€40,753M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€686M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€51M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€810M
€1,200M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€949M
€1,335M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,046M
€4,759M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€65,677
€69,449
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€968M
€1,162M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
72,200
74,300
Self-employed persons
14,000
18,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
9,300
5,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
54.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
33.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.5%
12.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
78,400
87,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
11,050
13,701
Enterprise births
752
1,166
Enterprise deaths
754
788
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
16.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
24.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
7.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
15.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
3.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
90.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,407,493
275,528
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
733 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
13,373 kt
992 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
11
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
7
0
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
86
96
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
101,577
156,417
Population aged 65+
37,658
58,686
Population aged under 15
19,016
30,318
Median age of population
48.4 yrs
47.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
37.1%
37.5%
Crude rate of total population change
10.4 /1k
-6.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.7 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
10.3 /1k
11.4 /1k
Live births
935
1,640
Deaths
1,616
2,797
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
55.8%
56.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
1.20
Population density (persons per km²)
23 /km²
116 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
94,962
164,385
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
44.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
82.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
38.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
288 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
1,031 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
14.1 /100k
13.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
278 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
135 /100k
533 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
871 m
413 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
44 days/yr
79 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
52 days/yr
4 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
5 days/yr