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ES415 · ITI33

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NUTS-3 ES415 · Spain
Population
328,4462025
GDP
€9,604M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,356.3 km²
NUTS-3 ITI33 · Italy
Population
302,0302025
GDP
€9,833M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,768.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Salamanca (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Macerata (45). Contrarian pick: Macerata — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 76).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Air quality (84)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Industrial base (76) · Cost advantage (64)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Salamanca
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 9) — Macerata may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsSalamanca · ManufacturingSalamanca · OfficeSalamanca · ResidentialMacerata.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.7
45.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.3
43.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
57.3
43.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
83.7
36.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
8.7
32.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
24.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
71.4
38.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
6.0% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.9% 5y
1.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€29,242
€32,555
Population density
27 /km²
109 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,764M
€8,833M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,069M
€124M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,026M
€2,281M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€770M
€2,132M
GVA — construction (F)
€608M
€755M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,052M
€1,817M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€21,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
32,900 PPS
33,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€29,300
€32,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€11,341M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€1,925M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€19,218M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,048M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€132M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,753M
€2,282M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,257M
€1,575M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,816M
€8,919M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€72,250
€71,869
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,108M
€2,294M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
143,000
140,800
Self-employed persons
24,200
38,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
11,500
32,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
71.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
21.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.6%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
155,200
138,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
21,765
27,869
Enterprise births
1,490
1,780
Enterprise deaths
1,480
1,631
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
2.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
24.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
32.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
10.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
17.3%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
94.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,400,850
1,760,517
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
718 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
9,849 kt
4,974 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
6
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
20 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
2
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
210
53
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
201,176
185,853
Population aged 65+
93,210
81,216
Population aged under 15
34,060
34,961
Median age of population
51.4 yrs
50.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
46.3%
43.7%
Crude rate of total population change
2.7 /1k
-3.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
9.6 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.1 /1k
6.0 /1k
Crude death rate
11.9 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
1,670
1,802
Deaths
3,919
3,806
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.3%
62.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.01
1.16
Population density (persons per km²)
27 /km²
109 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
188,527
243,595
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
13.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
12.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
284 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
865 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
39.7 /100k
11.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
189 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
123 /100k
571 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
49 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
892 m
850 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
37 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
35 days/yr
60 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
10 days/yr