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ES412 · ITI31

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NUTS-3 ES412 · Spain
Population
362,6632025
GDP
€11,304M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
14,293.2 km²
NUTS-3 ITI31 · Italy
Population
349,5582025
GDP
€11,818M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,515.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Burgos (Opportunity 49). Runner-up: Pesaro e Urbino (47). Contrarian pick: Pesaro e Urbino — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 86).

Strengths
Freight intensity (97) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Industrial base (86) · Cost advantage (64)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Burgos
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 9) — Pesaro e Urbino may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsBurgos · ManufacturingBurgos · OfficeBurgos · ResidentialPesaro e Urbino.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
48.9
47.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
47.5
39.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
53.0
37.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
74.3
13.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.0
39.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
24.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
48.4
44.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.5% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.7% 5y
8.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,169
€33,810
Population density
25 /km²
139 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,315M
€10,617M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€341M
€125M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,090M
€3,198M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,600M
€3,057M
GVA — construction (F)
€603M
€633M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,084M
€2,070M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€21,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,400 PPS
35,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,500
€33,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€11,341M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€1,925M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€19,218M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,290M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€136M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,045M
€2,746M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,153M
€1,846M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,376M
€10,720M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€74,928
€74,299
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,482M
€2,757M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
162,300
163,700
Self-employed persons
27,100
40,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
31,700
43,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
71.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
21.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.5%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
175,500
163,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
22,997
30,636
Enterprise births
1,653
1,802
Enterprise deaths
1,534
1,735
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.2%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
2.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
24.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
32.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
10.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
17.3%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
94.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,093,608
3,079,735
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
718 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
26,257 kt
5,889 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
21
8
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
20 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
2
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
128
36
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
227,458
219,667
Population aged 65+
92,889
89,887
Population aged under 15
42,316
40,004
Median age of population
49.4 yrs
49.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.8%
40.9%
Crude rate of total population change
8.1 /1k
-0.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
13.5 /1k
4.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
5.4 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
11.1 /1k
Live births
2,031
1,884
Deaths
3,974
3,893
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.4%
59.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.12
1.08
Population density (persons per km²)
25 /km²
140 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
218,752
276,388
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
13.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
12.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
284 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
865 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.4 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
42.5 /100k
17.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
269 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
206 /100k
659 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
49 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
906 m
233 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
29 days/yr
39 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
50 days/yr
24 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
9 days/yr