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ES243 · ITC46

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NUTS-3 ES243 · Spain
Population
998,4432025
GDP
€34,286M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
17,253.1 km²
NUTS-3 ITC46 · Italy
Population
1,114,7802025
GDP
€46,524M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,764.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Bergamo (Opportunity 68). Runner-up: Zaragoza (59). Contrarian pick: Zaragoza — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Industrial base (90) · Demographic outlook (82)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 18 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (88)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Bergamo
Long-run slide: down 18 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Zaragoza may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsZaragoza · ManufacturingZaragoza · OfficeZaragoza · ResidentialBergamo.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.2
67.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
50.8
46.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
52.7
48.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
45.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
40.7
61.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
61.3
29.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
66.2
51.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
3.3% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.9% 5y
0.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€34,340
€41,734
Population density
58 /km²
403 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€31,231M
€41,795M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,373M
€551M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€7,898M
€13,698M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€6,054M
€12,990M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,527M
€3,523M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€7,274M
€7,724M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,900
€26,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
39,100 PPS
43,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,900
€42,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,383M
€101,220M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,967M
€19,922M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€22,292M
€188,904M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€5,040M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€677M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€6,624M
€11,320M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€6,536M
€4,979M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€30,911M
€42,363M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€78,043
€93,902
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€7,801M
€9,746M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
468,100
510,400
Self-employed persons
60,300
105,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
75,700
140,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.1%
71.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.1%
10.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.0%
3.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
501,200
526,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
63,677
88,074
Enterprise births
4,897
5,957
Enterprise deaths
4,539
5,027
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
3.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.6%
5.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.2%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.0%
23.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
49.6%
34.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.1%
11.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.7%
18.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.7%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.6%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,401,018
3,357,488
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
499 /1k
640 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
51,717 kt
43,675 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
44
31
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
18 km/1000km²
32 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
4
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
22
10
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
4
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
648,918
718,303
Population aged 65+
221,382
255,221
Population aged under 15
128,143
141,256
Median age of population
46.7 yrs
47.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.1%
35.5%
Crude rate of total population change
10.8 /1k
3.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.3 /1k
6.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.3 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
9.8 /1k
9.6 /1k
Live births
6,213
7,367
Deaths
9,706
10,688
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.9%
55.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.12
1.24
Population density (persons per km²)
58 /km²
411 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
829,042
1,067,453
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.1%
12.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.6%
9.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
352 /100k
322 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
812 /100k
835 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
226 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
126 /100k
42.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
270 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
254 /100k
1,072 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
53 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
219 m
445 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
74 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
69 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
22 days/yr