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ES241 · DE933

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NUTS-3 ES241 · Spain
Population
230,0872025
GDP
€8,168M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
15,655.2 km²
NUTS-3 DE933 · Germany
Population
265,8642025
GDP
€7,998M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,251.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Harburg (Opportunity 59). Runner-up: Huesca (52). Contrarian pick: Huesca — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 99).

Strengths
Resilience (72) · Labour market (72)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Freight intensity (99) · Energy cost (95)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Harburg
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 11) — Huesca may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Harburg leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.7
59.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
57.3
72.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
58.7
51.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
22.3
71.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
61.3
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
68.0
65.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.1% 5y
0.5% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.2% 5y
0.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,498
€30,082
Population density
15 /km²
212 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 86 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,453M
€7,305M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,238M
€142M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,590M
€685M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,145M
€506M
GVA — construction (F)
€497M
€691M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,449M
€2,187M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,900
€28,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,300 PPS
27,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,900
€30,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,383M
€16,211M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,967M
€1,023M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€22,292M
€31,011M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,233M
€1,992M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,446M
€1,608M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,364M
€6,744M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€79,922
€81,587
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,858M
€2,099M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
108,900
104,890
Self-employed persons
20,800
13,630
Employment in manufacturing (C)
14,200
7,470
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.1%
80.2%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.1%
3.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
113,800
134,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
16,148
10,445
Enterprise births
1,067
937
Enterprise deaths
1,062
943
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.3%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.6%
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.2%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.0%
31.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
49.6%
30.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.1%
8.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.7%
21.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.7%
8.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,836,157
751,893
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
499 /1k
653 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
20,390 kt
8,694 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
63
1,785
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
27
671
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
18 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
99
36
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
147,400
166,299
Population aged 65+
53,494
61,436
Population aged under 15
29,193
38,129
Median age of population
47.3 yrs
47.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.3%
36.9%
Crude rate of total population change
6.8 /1k
4.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
11.0 /1k
7.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
7.9 /1k
Crude death rate
10.7 /1k
11.4 /1k
Live births
1,504
2,102
Deaths
2,464
3,028
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
56.1%
59.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.25
1.53
Population density (persons per km²)
15 /km²
214 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
166,110
220,668
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.1%
20.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
80.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.6%
14.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
352 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
812 /100k
1,033 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
226 /100k
242 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
1.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
56.0 /100k
42.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
302 /100k
297 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
237 /100k
973 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
53 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
626 m
47 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
52 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
41 days/yr
48 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
9 days/yr
3 days/yr