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ES111 · ITC41

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NUTS-3 ES111 · Spain
Population
1,135,6232025
GDP
€33,478M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,968.1 km²
NUTS-3 ITC41 · Italy
Population
882,5922025
GDP
€31,650M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,198.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Varese (Opportunity 65). Runner-up: A Coruña (58). Contrarian pick: A Coruña — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Industrial base (80) · Demographic outlook (73)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Air quality (78)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Varese
Long-run slide: down 29 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — A Coruña may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsA Coruña · ManufacturingA Coruña · OfficeA Coruña · ResidentialVarese.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
58.0
65.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
46.8
41.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
56.4
48.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
77.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
35.3
64.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
61.5
29.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
62.4
39.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.9% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.0% 5y
10.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€29,480
€35,861
Population density
143 /km²
736 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€30,457M
€28,433M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,084M
€155M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€5,882M
€7,803M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€4,249M
€7,402M
GVA — construction (F)
€2,056M
€1,416M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€8,028M
€6,582M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€17,800
€26,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
33,400 PPS
37,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€29,700
€36,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,447M
€101,220M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,235M
€19,922M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€35,979M
€188,904M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€3,797M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€638M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€6,930M
€8,073M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€6,477M
€4,402M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€30,935M
€28,819M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€73,754
€90,419
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€6,592M
€6,630M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
486,000
360,600
Self-employed persons
83,500
79,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
51,800
86,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
73.7%
71.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
10.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.3%
2.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
537,200
406,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
81,448
66,562
Enterprise births
5,916
4,858
Enterprise deaths
5,571
3,839
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
5.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
43.4%
23.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
53.3%
34.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
14.7%
11.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.2%
18.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.0%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.5%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
5,560,712
3,269,803
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
611 /1k
640 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
39,536 kt
16,055 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
33
1,560
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
40 km/1000km²
32 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
177
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
31
24
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
712,939
554,917
Population aged 65+
298,457
221,133
Population aged under 15
124,227
106,542
Median age of population
49.7 yrs
49.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.9%
39.8%
Crude rate of total population change
6.3 /1k
2.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
12.9 /1k
7.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.1 /1k
6.2 /1k
Crude death rate
11.7 /1k
10.8 /1k
Live births
5,795
5,471
Deaths
13,198
9,517
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.3%
59.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.98
1.19
Population density (persons per km²)
143 /km²
812 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
782,531
771,778
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
22.1%
12.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.2 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.0%
9.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
317 /100k
322 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
785 /100k
835 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
215 /100k
222 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
44.6 /100k
30.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
219 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
198 /100k
1,152 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
48 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
377 m
550 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
3 days/yr
6 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
61 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
15 days/yr
25 days/yr