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EL412 · EL623

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NUTS-3 EL412 · Greece
Population
43,0102025
GDP
€637M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
70%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
777 km²
NUTS-3 EL623 · Greece
Population
38,4512025
GDP
€712M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
68.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
898.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ιθάκη, Κεφαλληνία (Opportunity 21). Runner-up: Ικαρία, Σάμος (19). Contrarian pick: Ικαρία, Σάμος — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 100).

Strengths
Cost advantage (72) · Energy cost (58)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Resilience (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (100) · Cost advantage (88)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Resilience (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Ιθάκη, Κεφαλληνία
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Resilience (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 0) — Ικαρία, Σάμος may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ιθάκη, Κεφαλληνία leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
18.8
21.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
13.0
13.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
32.0
28.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
17.0
2.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
12.3
6.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
41.2
53.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.6% 5y
6.5% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
17.5% 5y
11.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€14,811
€18,529
Population density
55 /km²
43 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 82 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€556M
€622M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€12M
€69M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€49M
€40M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€24M
€11M
GVA — construction (F)
€11M
€16M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€175M
€274M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,200
€16,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
16,000 PPS
23,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€12,900
€18,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€652M
€798M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€19M
€15M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€1,148M
€1,396M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€86M
€115M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€4M
€3M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€132M
€148M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€178M
€74M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€578M
€645M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,648
€54,843
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€164M
€171M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
18,780
14,390
Self-employed persons
7,750
7,890
Employment in manufacturing (C)
850
390
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
68.6%
70.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
31.9%
30.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.4%
8.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
17,200
17,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
4,055
5,067
Enterprise births
260
395
Enterprise deaths
81
127
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
0.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
21.3%
21.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
19.1%
32.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
5.2%
1.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
12.9%
11.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.7%
4.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,377,316
2,070,610
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
302 /1k
460 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
143 kt
1 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
70
158
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
26,965
23,293
Population aged 65+
11,301
10,147
Population aged under 15
4,744
5,011
Median age of population
46.9 yrs
49.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.9%
43.6%
Crude rate of total population change
12.8 /1k
-2.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
18.8 /1k
3.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.0 /1k
6.8 /1k
Crude death rate
12.0 /1k
12.7 /1k
Live births
255
260
Deaths
511
487
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.5%
65.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.39
1.34
Population density (persons per km²)
56 /km²
43 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
93,018
33,468
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
27.9%
35.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.0 yrs
81.1 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
22.5%
22.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
335 /100k
319 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
861 /100k
1,055 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
199 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.4 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
4.7 /100k
2.6 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
25.9 /100k
59.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
104 /100k
114 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
98 /M
129 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
518 m
762 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
41 days/yr
16 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
7 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
15 days/yr
14 days/yr