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EE004 · SI044

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NUTS-3 EE004 · Estonia
Population
148,2552025
GDP
€2,778M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
11,195 km²
NUTS-3 SI044 · Slovenia
Population
119,6272025
GDP
€3,453M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,043.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Obalno-kraška (Opportunity 44). Runner-up: Lääne-Eesti (33). Contrarian pick: Lääne-Eesti — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 75).

Strengths
Freight intensity (89) · Talent & skills (82)
No red flags
Strengths
Cost advantage (75) · Energy cost (73)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Obalno-kraška
Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 20) — Lääne-Eesti may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Obalno-kraška leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
33.0
43.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.8
41.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
53.0
51.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
34.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
41.7
34.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
69.8
81.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
55.8
68.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.3% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.3% 5y
7.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€18,739
€28,869
Population density
13 /km²
115 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,434M
€3,058M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€130M
€38M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€535M
€381M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€427M
€306M
GVA — construction (F)
€231M
€211M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€458M
€1,217M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,400
€17,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
20,300 PPS
33,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€18,700
€28,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,522M
€7,464M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€822M
€1,358M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€20,179M
€20,182M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€365M
€228M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€34M
€81M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€563M
€620M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€517M
€591M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,030M
€2,786M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€47,845
€62,739
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€703M
€707M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
60,950
57,810
Self-employed persons
8,310
12,220
Employment in manufacturing (C)
12,060
5,910
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
81.7%
76.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
20.7%
10.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.5%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
78,900
58,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
15,387
14,189
Enterprise births
1,998
1,524
Enterprise deaths
3,846
1,622
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.7%
7.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
2.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
7.3%
7.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.4%
2.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
39.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
44.3%
45.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
23.8%
25.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.5%
29.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.2%
10.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.4%
94.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,380,385
3,434,373
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
635 /1k
582 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3,497
3
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,503 kt
6,295 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
5 km/1000km²
38 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2,359
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
99
46
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
4
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
90,905
74,807
Population aged 65+
34,930
28,927
Population aged under 15
22,420
15,893
Median age of population
45.7 yrs
47.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.4%
38.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-4.7 /1k
3.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
1.9 /1k
7.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.6 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude death rate
13.2 /1k
10.0 /1k
Live births
981
777
Deaths
1,965
1,196
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.1%
59.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.26
1.30
Population density (persons per km²)
13 /km²
115 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
95,578
99,139
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
21.8%
13.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.4 yrs
83.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.5%
12.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
464 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,322 /100k
931 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
238 /100k
287 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.3 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
2.7 /100k
22.6 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
260 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
401 /100k
1,242 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
50 /M
31 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.36
1.26
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.54
0.74
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.52
0.92
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.60
0.75
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.87
0.77
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.119/kWh
€0.132/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.053/kWh
€0.051/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
14 m
478 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
9 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
119 days/yr
61 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
25 days/yr