NUTS-3 DEF09 · Germany
Population
325,2232025
GDP
€11,269M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
638.1 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
DEF09 · DEF0D
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Segeberg (Opportunity 57). Runner-up: Pinneberg (55). Contrarian pick: Pinneberg — leads the set on Resilience (EU pctl 72).
#1Segeberg
Strengths
Connectivity (71) · Freight intensity (71)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 26 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Resilience (72) · Connectivity (68)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Segeberg
Long-run slide: down 26 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 20) — Pinneberg may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Segeberg leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
55.3
57.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
71.8
67.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.3
52.6
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
68.3
71.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
35.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
35.8
47.0
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.3% 5y
0.4% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.4% 5y
5.0% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€34,650
€39,336
Population density
510 /km²
210 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,293M
€10,188M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€145M
€148M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,242M
€2,367M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,640M
€2,027M
GVA — construction (F)
€620M
€624M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,509M
€2,736M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,800
€28,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,100 PPS
35,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,900
€39,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,063M
€27,063M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,460M
€2,460M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,661M
€61,661M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,609M
€2,250M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,167M
€2,063M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€9,333M
€9,238M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€90,967
€91,168
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,531M
€2,505M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
132,850
131,210
Self-employed persons
14,580
13,460
Employment in manufacturing (C)
18,430
20,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.3%
80.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.0%
6.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
3.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
172,400
150,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
12,549
10,949
Enterprise births
1,118
959
Enterprise deaths
1,198
1,041
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
4.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
4.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
31.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.4%
32.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.2%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.5%
21.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.6%
8.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
772,151
553,481
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
593 /1k
593 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,960 kt
10,970 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,270
1,701
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
35 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
391
600
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
19
28
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
205,319
179,249
Population aged 65+
74,041
64,155
Population aged under 15
45,863
40,158
Median age of population
46.9 yrs
46.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.1%
35.8%
Crude rate of total population change
4.5 /1k
4.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.9 /1k
9.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.9 /1k
7.6 /1k
Crude death rate
12.3 /1k
12.4 /1k
Live births
2,552
2,147
Deaths
3,977
3,496
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.4%
58.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.46
1.38
Population density (persons per km²)
507 /km²
213 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
285,299
259,205
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.9%
20.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
16.8%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
1,015 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
251 /100k
251 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
35.8 /100k
30.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
305 /100k
246 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,352 /100k
1,093 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
29 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
13 m
22 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
49 days/yr
48 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr