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2 regions side-by-side

DEF08 · ITH33

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NUTS-3 DEF08 · Germany
Population
201,4722025
GDP
€7,109M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,367.4 km²
NUTS-3 ITH33 · Italy
Population
197,7082025
GDP
€7,837M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,606.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ostholstein (Opportunity 51). Runner-up: Belluno (47). Contrarian pick: Belluno — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 87).

Strengths
Freight intensity (66) · Labour market (65)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Industrial base (87) · Economic base (75)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 14 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Ostholstein
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 8) — Belluno may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsOstholstein · ManufacturingBelluno · OfficeBelluno · ResidentialBelluno.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
50.7
47.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
56.3
36.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
61.8
50.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
55.3
29.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
27.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
44.8
39.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.0% 5y
3.4% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.0% 5y
0.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€35,284
€39,637
Population density
147 /km²
55 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,493M
€7,040M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€118M
€111M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€984M
€2,215M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€541M
€2,092M
GVA — construction (F)
€332M
€411M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,386M
€1,615M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,800
€23,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,500 PPS
41,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,300
€39,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,063M
€45,490M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,460M
€10,941M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,661M
€75,959M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€724M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€44M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,646M
€1,500M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,028M
€1,188M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,888M
€7,059M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,426
€84,687
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,597M
€1,836M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
94,790
94,900
Self-employed persons
11,240
19,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
8,120
26,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.3%
71.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.0%
13.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
100,600
89,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,114
13,965
Enterprise births
676
811
Enterprise deaths
809
755
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
3.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
21.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.4%
33.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.2%
13.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.5%
17.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.6%
5.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
10,606,972
4,334,691
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
593 /1k
680 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,272 kt
5,752 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,689
5
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
40 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
838
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
75
71
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
119,808
120,804
Population aged 65+
58,331
56,435
Population aged under 15
23,333
20,469
Median age of population
53.0 yrs
52.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
48.7%
46.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.3 /1k
-0.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
9.5 /1k
7.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
5.4 /1k
Crude death rate
15.7 /1k
13.0 /1k
Live births
1,193
1,069
Deaths
3,173
2,562
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
68.2%
63.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.28
1.14
Population density (persons per km²)
148 /km²
54 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
157,832
160,506
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.9%
14.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
84.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
12.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
307 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
825 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
251 /100k
200 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
23.3 /100k
10.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
346 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,223 /100k
368 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
55 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
42 m
869 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
51 days/yr
119 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
20 days/yr