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DEF07 · DEC04

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NUTS-3 DEF07 · Germany
Population
170,0292025
GDP
€7,814M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,075 km²
NUTS-3 DEC04 · Germany
Population
205,1292025
GDP
€7,897M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
457.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Nordfriesland (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Saarlouis (51). Contrarian pick: Saarlouis — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Economic base (75) · Resilience (66)
No red flags
Strengths
Industrial base (97) · Demographic outlook (80)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Nordfriesland
Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 15) — Saarlouis may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Nordfriesland leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
52.0
51.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
65.8
39.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
61.4
48.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
64.0
55.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
48.3
65.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
24.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
51.6
35.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
1.1% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
1.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.4% 5y
8.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€45,958
€38,496
Population density
82 /km²
448 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,138M
€7,213M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€284M
€16M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,329M
€3,005M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€608M
€2,838M
GVA — construction (F)
€521M
€267M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,409M
€1,108M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,800
€25,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
41,100 PPS
34,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€46,100
€38,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,063M
€8,110M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,460M
€1,529M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,661M
€23,975M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,707M
€1,430M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,887M
€1,387M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,472M
€6,557M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€87,779
€88,895
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,755M
€1,535M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
95,470
93,400
Self-employed persons
11,690
7,410
Employment in manufacturing (C)
7,440
22,370
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.3%
77.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
4.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
87,700
102,100
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,666
6,942
Enterprise births
752
631
Enterprise deaths
785
660
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
4.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
4.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
28.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.4%
29.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.2%
9.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.5%
19.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.6%
7.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
9,710,803
174,220
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
593 /1k
646 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,434 kt
8,699 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,789
1,226
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
94 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1,052
598
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
123
49
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
104,445
125,688
Population aged 65+
43,601
53,133
Population aged under 15
21,983
26,308
Median age of population
49.7 yrs
48.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.7%
42.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.1 /1k
-4.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.3 /1k
1.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
7.1 /1k
Crude death rate
13.4 /1k
13.6 /1k
Live births
1,188
1,467
Deaths
2,285
2,792
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.8%
63.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.35
1.32
Population density (persons per km²)
83 /km²
449 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
150,398
221,808
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.9%
22.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
79.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
15.5%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
1,123 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
251 /100k
243 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.8 /100k
1.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
27.6 /100k
38.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
275 /100k
241 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,124 /100k
1,207 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
24 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
6 m
205 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
46 days/yr
53 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
4 days/yr