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DEF07 · DE406

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NUTS-3 DEF07 · Germany
Population
170,0292025
GDP
€7,814M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,075 km²
NUTS-3 DE406 · Germany
Population
178,7932025
GDP
€8,463M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,274.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Dahme-Spreewald (Opportunity 57). Runner-up: Nordfriesland (52). Contrarian pick: Nordfriesland — leads the set on Resilience (EU pctl 66).

Strengths
Freight intensity (80) · Economic base (79)
Red flags
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Economic base (75) · Resilience (66)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Dahme-Spreewald
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 12) — Nordfriesland may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Dahme-Spreewald leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
52.0
56.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
65.8
41.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
61.4
55.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
64.0
59.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
48.3
69.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
27.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
51.6
59.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
2.9% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.4% 5y
6.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€45,958
€47,332
Population density
82 /km²
79 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,138M
€7,730M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€284M
€126M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,329M
€911M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€608M
€550M
GVA — construction (F)
€521M
€448M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,409M
€2,434M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,800
€26,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
41,100 PPS
42,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€46,100
€47,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,063M
€23,042M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,460M
€2,607M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,661M
€47,281M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,707M
€2,406M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,887M
€1,405M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,472M
€6,787M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€87,779
€106,914
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,755M
€2,072M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
95,470
83,550
Self-employed persons
11,690
8,530
Employment in manufacturing (C)
7,440
8,360
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.3%
80.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.0%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
3.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
87,700
89,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,666
7,051
Enterprise births
752
628
Enterprise deaths
785
673
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
4.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.4%
31.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.2%
6.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.5%
21.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.6%
7.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
9,710,803
2,254,457
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
593 /1k
584 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,434 kt
8,021 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,789
1,460
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1,052
817
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
123
40
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
104,445
108,724
Population aged 65+
43,601
45,028
Population aged under 15
21,983
25,041
Median age of population
49.7 yrs
48.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.7%
41.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.1 /1k
6.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.3 /1k
12.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
13.4 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
1,188
1,190
Deaths
2,285
2,241
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.8%
64.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.35
1.42
Population density (persons per km²)
83 /km²
81 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
150,398
168,695
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.9%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
81.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
14.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
1,113 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
251 /100k
245 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.8 /100k
1.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
27.6 /100k
50.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
275 /100k
339 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,124 /100k
1,431 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
45 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
6 m
45 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
46 days/yr
56 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr