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DEF01 · DEB21

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NUTS-3 DEF01 · Germany
Population
96,3262025
GDP
€4,948M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
47.2 km²
NUTS-3 DEB21 · Germany
Population
104,3422025
GDP
€5,906M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2%2019
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
116.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Trier, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Flensburg, Kreisfreie Stadt (47). Contrarian pick: Flensburg, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Resilience (EU pctl 60).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (100) · Economic base (90)
Red flags
Flood: 28% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Strengths
Economic base (85) · Labour market (65)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Trier, Kreisfreie Stadt
Flood: 28% of population in the 100-year floodplain. Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 28) — Flensburg, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Trier, Kreisfreie Stadt leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.5
52.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
60.0
45.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
57.2
60.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
50.7
53.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
38.0
69.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
35.5
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
53.6
35.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.6% 5y
0.2% 5y
Population
1.3% 5y
1.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.2% 5y
12.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€51,368
€56,603
Population density
2,040 /km²
894 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,520M
€5,395M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€0M
€9M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€859M
€988M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€554M
€761M
GVA — construction (F)
€123M
€181M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,111M
€1,136M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,800
€27,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
45,800 PPS
50,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€51,400
€57,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€27,063M
€5,179M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,460M
€716M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€61,661M
€10,498M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€925M
€1,029M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,501M
€2,051M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,098M
€4,980M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€84,876
€80,341
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,111M
€1,529M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
62,520
77,180
Self-employed persons
4,070
5,050
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,890
6,990
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.3%
82.2%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.7%
2.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
54,200
57,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,073
3,935
Enterprise births
300
300
Enterprise deaths
300
320
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
3.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.4%
35.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.2%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.5%
21.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.6%
6.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
381,150
852,807
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
593 /1k
667 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,766 kt
2,266 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
405
550
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
420
527
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
35 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
95
36
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
64,535
70,830
Population aged 65+
19,455
20,435
Population aged under 15
12,336
13,077
Median age of population
41.1 yrs
40.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
30.1%
28.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.1 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.2 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.6 /1k
8.3 /1k
Crude death rate
11.9 /1k
11.5 /1k
Live births
829
869
Deaths
1,145
1,193
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
49.3%
47.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.20
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
1,691 /km²
914 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
78,178
182,388
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.9%
25.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
21.4%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,015 /100k
986 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
251 /100k
246 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
2.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
114 /100k
92.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
456 /100k
427 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,324 /100k
2,520 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
36 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
7 m
133 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
47 days/yr
44 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr