NUTS-3 DE407 · Germany
Population
97,9672025
GDP
€3,261M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
1,900.2 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
DE407 · DE40I
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Elbe-Elster (Opportunity 41). Runner-up: Uckermark (41). Contrarian pick: Uckermark — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 78).
Strengths
Freight intensity (78) · Industrial base (75)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Elbe-Elster
Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 15) — Uckermark may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: Logistics → Elbe-Elster · Manufacturing → Uckermark · Office → Uckermark · Residential → Elbe-Elster.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
41.3
40.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
41.3
20.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.1
57.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
53.3
60.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
63.7
55.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
27.0
27.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
38.0
35.2
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.2% 5y
1.8% 5y
Population
0.8% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.0% 5y
11.0% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€33,288
€38,930
Population density
52 /km²
38 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,979M
€4,176M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€116M
€164M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€842M
€1,576M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€513M
€997M
GVA — construction (F)
€204M
€206M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€400M
€543M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,000
€26,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
29,300 PPS
34,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,900
€38,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€23,042M
€23,042M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,607M
€2,607M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€47,281M
€47,281M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€522M
€648M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€895M
€1,039M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,615M
€3,666M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€79,593
€95,085
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€798M
€1,119M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
43,250
50,760
Self-employed persons
4,810
5,010
Employment in manufacturing (C)
8,250
6,460
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.0%
80.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
7.3%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.7%
3.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
46,300
55,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,409
3,378
Enterprise births
166
184
Enterprise deaths
238
261
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.0%
2.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.5%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.1%
4.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
32.2%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
31.8%
31.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.4%
6.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.9%
21.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.6%
7.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
145,653
907,475
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
584 /1k
584 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,971 kt
5,038 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
931
1,726
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
950
1,470
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
59
81
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
55,972
67,402
Population aged 65+
30,223
36,156
Population aged under 15
11,772
13,874
Median age of population
54.4 yrs
54.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
54.0%
53.6%
Crude rate of total population change
-8.0 /1k
-3.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.8 /1k
8.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.2 /1k
5.1 /1k
Crude death rate
18.0 /1k
16.9 /1k
Live births
516
600
Deaths
1,767
1,983
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
75.0%
74.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.47
1.36
Population density (persons per km²)
52 /km²
39 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
84,881
77,878
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.6%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.0 yrs
81.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.7%
14.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,113 /100k
1,113 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
245 /100k
245 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.0 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.2 /100k
42.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
368 /100k
332 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
860 /100k
1,019 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
45 /M
45 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
152 m
36 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
6 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
57 days/yr
60 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
2 days/yr