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DE254 · DEA52

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NUTS-3 DE254 · Germany
Population
529,5082025
GDP
€38,630M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
187.9 km²
NUTS-3 DEA52 · Germany
Population
603,4622025
GDP
€29,578M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
279.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Dortmund, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 69). Runner-up: Nürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt (68). Contrarian pick: Nürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Economic base (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Economic base (81) · Connectivity (80)
No red flags
Strengths
Economic base (96) · Labour market (86)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Dortmund, Kreisfreie Stadt
Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 19) — Nürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Dortmund, Kreisfreie Stadt leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
67.7
69.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
59.8
58.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
57.4
41.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
30.3
26.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
71.7
80.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
62.8
28.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
48.4
50.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
0.2% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.2% 5y
7.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€72,955
€49,013
Population density
2,818 /km²
2,157 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€35,285M
€27,016M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€37M
€13M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€5,932M
€3,924M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€5,105M
€2,618M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,273M
€1,036M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€9,732M
€6,517M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€30,000
€26,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
65,500 PPS
43,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€73,600
€49,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€21,016M
€29,556M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,272M
€4,134M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€54,755M
€86,336M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€10,823M
€7,861M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€7,487M
€7,665M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€33,468M
€24,903M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€99,819
€90,200
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€8,312M
€5,792M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
406,850
346,380
Self-employed persons
25,650
22,180
Employment in manufacturing (C)
45,670
26,090
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.9%
77.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
9.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.8%
4.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
300,200
303,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
20,954
19,001
Enterprise births
1,867
1,894
Enterprise deaths
1,911
1,817
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
4.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.5%
1.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.8%
4.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.7%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
38.6%
27.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.4%
32.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.3%
9.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.8%
18.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
11.0%
7.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,855,241
1,503,036
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
594 /1k
603 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
14,693 kt
14,099 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,827
2,434
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
345
403
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
7
11
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
6
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
351,658
393,208
Population aged 65+
107,104
123,719
Population aged under 15
70,746
86,535
Median age of population
42.5 yrs
42.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
30.5%
31.5%
Crude rate of total population change
5.5 /1k
3.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.5 /1k
6.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.0 /1k
9.0 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
12.4 /1k
Live births
4,753
5,440
Deaths
5,834
7,466
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
50.6%
53.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.29
1.37
Population density (persons per km²)
2,854 /km²
2,151 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
533,411
615,521
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.6%
24.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.4 yrs
80.1 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.7%
19.6%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,065 /100k
1,106 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
225 /100k
256 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
2.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
59.6 /100k
138 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
413 /100k
720 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,701 /100k
2,824 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
33 /M
23 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
312 m
104 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
75 days/yr
41 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr