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DE221 · DE242

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NUTS-3 DE221 · Germany
Population
71,8632025
GDP
€5,007M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
84%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
64.5 km²
NUTS-3 DE242 · Germany
Population
72,9402025
GDP
€5,770M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
66 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Bayreuth, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Landshut, Kreisfreie Stadt (45). Contrarian pick: Landshut, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Labour market (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Economic base (97) · Labour market (88)
No red flags
Strengths
Economic base (96) · Labour market (90)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 57% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Why you might not pick Bayreuth, Kreisfreie Stadt
Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 19) — Landshut, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsBayreuth, Kreisfreie Stadt · ManufacturingBayreuth, Kreisfreie Stadt · OfficeLandshut, Kreisfreie Stadt · ResidentialLandshut, Kreisfreie Stadt.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
44.7
46.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
43.8
39.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
58.0
63.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
41.5
43.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
71.0
58.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
22.8
31.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
20.6
25.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.5% 5y
1.6% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.2% 5y
2.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€69,677
€79,099
Population density
1,114 /km²
1,104 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 82 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,574M
€5,270M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€6M
€8M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,166M
€1,164M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€734M
€760M
GVA — construction (F)
€119M
€236M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€566M
€781M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,300
€29,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
64,900 PPS
70,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€72,800
€79,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€15,377M
€14,094M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,308M
€1,882M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€31,040M
€27,035M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,125M
€1,014M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,592M
€2,067M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,156M
€4,918M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€93,492
€91,183
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,255M
€1,634M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
56,190
66,680
Self-employed persons
3,640
4,070
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,360
6,540
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.5%
82.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
3.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
40,900
42,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
2,939
2,818
Enterprise births
235
220
Enterprise deaths
256
202
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.4%
3.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
2.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
1.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.7%
31.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
33.3%
34.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.2%
6.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.8%
21.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.6%
7.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
280,783
429,802
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
681 /1k
671 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
423 kt
1,818 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
456
444
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
635
609
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
36
60
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
47,272
48,372
Population aged 65+
14,735
16,458
Population aged under 15
9,856
8,110
Median age of population
43.1 yrs
42.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
31.2%
34.0%
Crude rate of total population change
44.4 /1k
-1.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
47.0 /1k
3.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.5 /1k
7.0 /1k
Crude death rate
12.1 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
670
514
Deaths
852
919
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
52.0%
50.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.43
1.05
Population density (persons per km²)
1,065 /km²
1,090 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
68,728
59,074
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
15.5%
17.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.2 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.3%
13.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,108 /100k
1,117 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
231 /100k
230 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
55.3 /100k
21.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
253 /100k
211 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,482 /100k
1,212 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
47 /M
37 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
397 m
351 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
10 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
80 days/yr
82 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
4 days/yr
4 days/yr