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DE139 · DE136

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NUTS-3 DE139 · Germany
Population
238,2632025
GDP
€9,148M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
808.2 km²
NUTS-3 DE136 · Germany
Population
214,0652025
GDP
€10,000M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,026.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis (Opportunity 62). Runner-up: Lörrach (60). Contrarian pick: Lörrach — leads the set on Connectivity (EU pctl 82).

Strengths
Industrial base (92) · Labour market (89)
No red flags
Strengths
Labour market (89) · Connectivity (82)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 17 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis
Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 19) — Lörrach may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
60.0
62.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
72.0
56.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
70.9
75.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
79.0
88.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
82.3
70.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
55.3
55.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
30.0
28.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.3% 5y
0.4% 5y
Population
0.8% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.3% 5y
1.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€38,394
€46,715
Population density
295 /km²
209 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,356M
€9,134M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€45M
€60M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,495M
€3,183M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,170M
€3,012M
GVA — construction (F)
€383M
€523M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,777M
€1,428M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,100
€29,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
34,500 PPS
41,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€38,700
€46,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€24,625M
€24,625M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€4,717M
€4,717M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€57,940M
€57,940M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,935M
€1,942M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,721M
€1,998M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,923M
€8,661M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€90,237
€88,644
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,155M
€2,356M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
107,190
119,280
Self-employed persons
9,310
9,750
Employment in manufacturing (C)
23,130
36,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.3%
82.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
4.0%
4.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.1%
3.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
131,200
115,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
8,051
8,151
Enterprise births
705
632
Enterprise deaths
717
636
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.9%
3.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.5%
2.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.0%
6.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.5%
1.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
37.6%
37.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.8%
42.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.6%
9.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.0%
25.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.3%
9.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,203,657
942,903
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
603 /1k
603 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,496 kt
5,317 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,661
1,559
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
697
728
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
21
59
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
6
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
150,493
132,477
Population aged 65+
52,002
50,005
Population aged under 15
35,768
31,583
Median age of population
45.1 yrs
45.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.6%
37.7%
Crude rate of total population change
4.4 /1k
0.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.4 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.5 /1k
9.1 /1k
Crude death rate
10.5 /1k
12.1 /1k
Live births
1,780
1,955
Deaths
2,500
2,583
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.3%
61.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.30
1.59
Population density (persons per km²)
296 /km²
209 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
244,576
220,372
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.4%
18.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.2 yrs
82.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.1%
13.1%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
950 /100k
950 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
205 /100k
205 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
35.0 /100k
17.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
194 /100k
148 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,368 /100k
832 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
34 /M
34 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
649 m
756 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
4 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
80 days/yr
104 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
14 days/yr
5 days/yr