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DE114 · DE136

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NUTS-3 DE114 · Germany
Population
258,8092025
GDP
€9,721M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
639.7 km²
NUTS-3 DE136 · Germany
Population
214,0652025
GDP
€10,000M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,026.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis (Opportunity 62). Runner-up: Göppingen (61). Contrarian pick: Göppingen — leads the set on Connectivity (EU pctl 71).

Strengths
Industrial base (92) · Labour market (89)
No red flags
Strengths
Labour market (85) · Industrial base (84)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 18 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis
Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 19) — Göppingen may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Schwarzwald-Baar-Kreis leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
60.8
62.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
61.8
56.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
70.8
75.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
88.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
71.0
70.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.0
55.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
26.4
28.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.3% 5y
0.4% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.6% 5y
1.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€37,560
€46,715
Population density
405 /km²
209 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,879M
€9,134M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€62M
€60M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,649M
€3,183M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,449M
€3,012M
GVA — construction (F)
€763M
€523M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,638M
€1,428M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€30,800
€29,100
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
33,500 PPS
41,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€37,600
€46,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€60,881M
€24,625M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€22,211M
€4,717M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€139,588M
€57,940M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,002M
€1,942M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,765M
€1,998M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,426M
€8,661M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€86,167
€88,644
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,150M
€2,356M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
118,770
119,280
Self-employed persons
10,710
9,750
Employment in manufacturing (C)
29,840
36,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.6%
82.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.9%
4.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
3.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
143,100
115,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,788
8,151
Enterprise births
841
632
Enterprise deaths
888
636
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
3.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
7.3%
2.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.8%
6.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
4.9%
1.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
38.0%
37.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.1%
42.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.0%
9.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
26.4%
25.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
11.3%
9.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
493,394
942,903
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
636 /1k
603 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
5,729 kt
5,317 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,210
1,559
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
468
728
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
38
59
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
6
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
161,900
132,477
Population aged 65+
58,779
50,005
Population aged under 15
38,130
31,583
Median age of population
45.5 yrs
45.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.3%
37.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.6 /1k
0.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
1.7 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.6 /1k
9.1 /1k
Crude death rate
12.0 /1k
12.1 /1k
Live births
2,231
1,955
Deaths
3,107
2,583
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.9%
61.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.51
1.59
Population density (persons per km²)
404 /km²
209 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
264,734
220,372
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
17.1%
18.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.3 yrs
82.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.6%
13.1%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
938 /100k
950 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
199 /100k
205 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
23.1 /100k
17.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
186 /100k
148 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
755 /100k
832 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
27 /M
34 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
556 m
756 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
4 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
77 days/yr
104 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
5 days/yr