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BG422 · BG333

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NUTS-3 BG422 · Bulgaria
Population
207,3562025
GDP
€1,523M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,532.3 km²
NUTS-3 BG333 · Bulgaria
Population
149,2792025
GDP
€1,384M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,405.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Шумен (Opportunity 30). Runner-up: Хасково (20).

Strengths
Cost advantage (99) · Growth momentum (77)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (99) · Energy cost (65)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Шумен
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 0) — Хасково may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Шумен leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
19.8
30.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
29.5
38.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
20.7
26.6
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
10.0
18.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.8
40.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
50.6
77.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.0% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.6% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.2% 5y
8.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€7,346
€9,269
Population density
37 /km²
44 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€1,329M
€1,207M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€95M
€112M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€175M
€254M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€161M
€199M
GVA — construction (F)
€53M
€67M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€371M
€233M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€6,700
€6,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
11,900 PPS
15,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€7,400
€9,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€2,738M
€1,591M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€682M
€277M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€5,794M
€4,059M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€187M
€129M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€29M
€10M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€274M
€219M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€360M
€322M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,283M
€1,013M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€18,258
€23,276
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€394M
€281M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
99,350
72,790
Self-employed persons
41,770
23,240
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,290
15,150
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
69.9%
75.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
14.6%
14.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.2%
3.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
90,200
72,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
11,028
6,423
Enterprise births
1,094
654
Enterprise deaths
1,610
1,012
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.4%
0.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
3.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
29.3%
39.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
36.6%
42.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.8%
9.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.0%
23.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.5%
7.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
92.3%
92.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
257,193
84,000
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
457 /1k
472 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,091 kt
4,109 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
9 km/1000km²
8 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
96
66
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
124,506
91,448
Population aged 65+
53,895
38,385
Population aged under 15
28,955
19,446
Median age of population
48.9 yrs
49.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.3%
42.0%
Crude rate of total population change
1.2 /1k
-2.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
10.2 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.4 /1k
7.2 /1k
Crude death rate
16.4 /1k
16.6 /1k
Live births
1,529
1,077
Deaths
3,398
2,488
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
66.5%
63.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.76
1.66
Population density (persons per km²)
38 /km²
44 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
143,128
120,112
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
34.4%
27.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
76.1 yrs
75.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
25.6%
21.3%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
924 /100k
605 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
2,023 /100k
2,126 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
240 /100k
229 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.0 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
10.1 /100k
10.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
40.6 /100k
24.1 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
309 /100k
288 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
80 /M
83 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.07
-0.07
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.25
0.25
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.10
-0.10
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.14
-0.14
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.33
0.33
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.135/kWh
€0.135/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.041/kWh
€0.041/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
251 m
221 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
56 days/yr
37 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
48 days/yr
63 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
4 days/yr