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SE321 · SE213

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NUTS-3 SE321 · Sweden
Population
241,4582025
GDP
€12,132M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
85%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
23,009.6 km²
NUTS-3 SE213 · Sweden
Population
246,3522025
GDP
€9,785M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
11,680.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Västernorrlands län (Opportunity 43). Runner-up: Kalmar län (38). Contrarian pick: Kalmar län — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 92).

Strengths
Labour market (97) · Energy cost (97)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Governance (93)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Västernorrlands län
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 7) — Kalmar län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Västernorrlands län leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
42.5
38.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
48.5
52.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
56.2
56.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
49.3
77.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
7.0
9.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
75.5
77.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
41.8
27.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.8% 5y
0.9% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.3% 5y
2.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€50,244
€39,719
Population density
10 /km²
21 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,865M
€8,763M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€425M
€438M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,804M
€2,081M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,934M
€1,489M
GVA — construction (F)
€757M
€603M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,204M
€1,635M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,000
€22,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
42,100 PPS
33,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€49,900
€39,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€4,434M
€8,919M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€686M
€1,769M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€7,806M
€18,774M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€736M
€725M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€474M
€186M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,865M
€1,405M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,811M
€2,601M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€11,185M
€8,938M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€105,770
€89,827
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,350M
€2,463M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
122,020
115,890
Self-employed persons
7,100
7,000
Employment in manufacturing (C)
14,400
18,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
84.9%
83.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.0%
22.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.5%
7.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
129,100
125,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
16,894
16,437
Enterprise births
1,257
1,279
Enterprise deaths
1,210
1,056
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.8%
4.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.7%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.8%
43.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
39.3%
45.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
34.5%
35.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
29.4%
28.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.6%
9.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
98.1%
93.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,427,320
3,138,463
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
555 /1k
530 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
12,337 kt
12,508 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
16
16
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
7
7
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
6 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
154
134
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
142,373
142,214
Population aged 65+
61,269
64,879
Population aged under 15
37,816
39,259
Median age of population
45.6 yrs
46.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.0%
45.6%
Crude rate of total population change
-2.9 /1k
-1.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
1.6 /1k
1.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.4 /1k
8.2 /1k
Crude death rate
11.9 /1k
10.9 /1k
Live births
1,786
2,026
Deaths
2,867
2,697
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
69.6%
73.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.39
1.55
Population density (persons per km²)
11 /km²
22 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
262,690
279,056
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.8%
16.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.8 yrs
84.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
14.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
205 /100k
200 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
950 /100k
819 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
211 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.0 /100k
19.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
391 /100k
552 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,496 /100k
1,676 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
29 /M
32 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
945 kSEK
1,236 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
109 m
114 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
174 days/yr
90 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr