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SE211 · SE123

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NUTS-3 SE211 · Sweden
Population
370,0092025
GDP
€16,585M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
11,744.9 km²
NUTS-3 SE123 · Sweden
Population
472,4462025
GDP
€23,102M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,261.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Östergötlands län (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Jönköpings län (47). Contrarian pick: Jönköpings län — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (95)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (94)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Östergötlands län
Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 30) — Jönköpings län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsJönköpings län · ManufacturingJönköpings län · OfficeÖstergötlands län · ResidentialÖstergötlands län.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.7
51.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
53.3
58.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
52.6
59.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
82.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
14.0
45.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
77.3
92.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
31.2
36.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.3% 5y
2.4% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.9% 5y
2.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€44,823
€48,899
Population density
32 /km²
39 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,853M
€20,690M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€329M
€478M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,967M
€3,955M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,622M
€3,526M
GVA — construction (F)
€894M
€1,227M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,555M
€5,657M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,000
€22,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
37,700 PPS
41,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€44,600
€48,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€8,919M
€19,140M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,769M
€3,614M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€18,774M
€37,294M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,046M
€1,557M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€358M
€2,514M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,217M
€4,050M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,890M
€5,323M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,150M
€21,535M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€89,679
€98,712
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,175M
€5,991M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
196,750
248,980
Self-employed persons
9,500
12,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
41,600
33,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.6%
82.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
22.1%
28.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.2%
9.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
199,300
252,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
23,912
29,713
Enterprise births
1,875
2,542
Enterprise deaths
1,585
2,007
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.5%
5.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
4.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
6.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
2.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
43.6%
46.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.1%
50.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
35.5%
38.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
28.5%
33.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.4%
13.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.0%
94.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,700,924
2,018,056
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
530 /1k
474 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
21,714 kt
17,882 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
7
16
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
3
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
6 km/1000km²
16 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
115
6
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
225,110
293,176
Population aged 65+
79,863
101,237
Population aged under 15
65,036
78,033
Median age of population
41.2 yrs
41.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
35.5%
34.5%
Crude rate of total population change
3.1 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.4 /1k
0.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.4 /1k
9.0 /1k
Crude death rate
8.7 /1k
8.9 /1k
Live births
3,468
4,243
Deaths
3,214
4,213
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
64.4%
61.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.57
1.43
Population density (persons per km²)
35 /km²
45 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
461,386
600,594
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.9%
20.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.0 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.5%
17.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
200 /100k
185 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
819 /100k
859 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
199 /100k
207 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
32.5 /100k
40.4 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
498 /100k
688 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,785 /100k
2,470 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
32 /M
23 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,744 kSEK
1,737 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
320 m
86 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
1 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
111 days/yr
99 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
1 days/yr