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SE125 · SE122

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NUTS-3 SE125 · Sweden
Population
281,1582025
GDP
€11,305M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,684.9 km²
NUTS-3 SE122 · Sweden
Population
301,5422025
GDP
€11,729M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,051.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Södermanlands län (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Västmanlands län (44). Contrarian pick: Västmanlands län — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (93)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (94)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Södermanlands län
Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 30) — Västmanlands län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Södermanlands län leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
44.4
45.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
56.8
51.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
53.9
52.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
58.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
39.3
35.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
92.5
92.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
25.6
30.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.7% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.9% 5y
5.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€40,210
€38,896
Population density
49 /km²
43 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€10,125M
€10,504M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€149M
€186M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,320M
€2,333M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,065M
€2,065M
GVA — construction (F)
€784M
€823M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,899M
€1,793M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,200
€22,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
33,800 PPS
32,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€40,000
€38,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€19,140M
€19,140M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,614M
€3,614M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€37,294M
€37,294M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€917M
€1,088M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€260M
€128M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,208M
€2,209M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,765M
€3,158M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€10,538M
€10,933M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€89,578
€95,656
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,932M
€3,041M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
134,270
130,440
Self-employed persons
5,300
6,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
23,000
16,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.3%
82.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
28.1%
28.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.4%
9.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
147,000
153,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
17,669
19,863
Enterprise births
1,510
1,582
Enterprise deaths
1,129
1,355
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.6%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
4.4%
4.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.2%
6.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.5%
2.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.6%
46.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
50.5%
50.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
38.4%
38.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.0%
33.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
13.7%
13.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.0%
94.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
983,247
1,177,849
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
474 /1k
474 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
13,739 kt
13,961 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
5
4
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
1
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
16 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
28
39
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
170,602
178,531
Population aged 65+
62,668
71,123
Population aged under 15
47,888
51,888
Median age of population
42.2 yrs
43.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.7%
39.8%
Crude rate of total population change
1.2 /1k
-1.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.0 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
8.5 /1k
Crude death rate
9.7 /1k
10.2 /1k
Live births
2,514
2,570
Deaths
2,732
3,063
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
64.8%
68.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.48
1.53
Population density (persons per km²)
55 /km²
50 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
336,631
348,761
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.7%
20.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.4%
17.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
185 /100k
185 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
859 /100k
859 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
207 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
44.2 /100k
47.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
777 /100k
676 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,554 /100k
2,222 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
23 /M
23 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,312 kSEK
1,429 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
58 m
77 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
121 days/yr
110 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr