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SE124 · SE331

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NUTS-3 SE124 · Sweden
Population
308,3752025
GDP
€14,240M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
9,686.1 km²
NUTS-3 SE331 · Sweden
Population
281,1382025
GDP
€13,640M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
82%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
59,253.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Örebro län (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Västerbottens län (42). Contrarian pick: Västerbottens län — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 98).

Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (96)
No red flags
Strengths
Freight intensity (98) · Energy cost (97)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Örebro län
Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 17) — Västerbottens län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsVästerbottens län · ManufacturingVästerbottens län · OfficeVästerbottens län · ResidentialÖrebro län.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
45.7
42.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
52.5
57.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.4
57.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
46.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
17.0
6.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
92.5
85.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
29.2
33.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.4% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.4% 5y
1.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€46,178
€48,517
Population density
32 /km²
5 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,753M
€12,216M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€257M
€281M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,063M
€3,191M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,610M
€2,087M
GVA — construction (F)
€920M
€1,010M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,461M
€2,067M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,200
€22,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
38,800 PPS
40,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€45,900
€48,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€19,140M
€8,790M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,614M
€2,262M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€37,294M
€12,254M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,045M
€712M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€406M
€477M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,135M
€2,452M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,917M
€3,215M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€13,274M
€12,139M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€98,457
€96,621
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,693M
€4,868M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
153,870
150,180
Self-employed persons
7,200
8,700
Employment in manufacturing (C)
20,800
18,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.3%
83.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
28.1%
23.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.4%
7.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
162,400
152,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
20,055
18,721
Enterprise births
1,645
1,412
Enterprise deaths
1,332
1,369
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.2%
4.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
4.4%
2.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.2%
4.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.5%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.6%
48.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
50.5%
44.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
38.4%
35.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.0%
30.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
13.7%
12.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.0%
97.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,258,775
1,833,147
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
474 /1k
536 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
14,264 kt
22,407 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
8
12
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
4
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
96
165
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
188,493
174,934
Population aged 65+
68,324
60,934
Population aged under 15
51,558
45,270
Median age of population
41.7 yrs
40.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.2%
34.8%
Crude rate of total population change
0.8 /1k
8.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.9 /1k
10.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.1 /1k
8.6 /1k
Crude death rate
9.2 /1k
9.9 /1k
Live births
2,814
2,394
Deaths
2,828
2,783
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.6%
60.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.48
1.31
Population density (persons per km²)
36 /km²
5 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
395,472
324,278
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.7%
15.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
82.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.4%
13.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
185 /100k
198 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
859 /100k
949 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
202 /100k
Safety & crime
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
50.3 /100k
15.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
787 /100k
262 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
3,058 /100k
1,798 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
23 /M
30 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.91
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.62
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.74
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.03
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.94
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.085/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.073/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,404 kSEK
1,765 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
193 m
368 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
121 days/yr
197 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr