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SE123 · FRC21

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NUTS-3 SE123 · Sweden
Population
472,4462025
GDP
€23,102M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,261.1 km²
NUTS-3 FRC21 · France
Population
546,7272025
GDP
€18,651M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.7%2025
Active firms
110,3532026
Cadastral parcels
763,3222026
Area
5,252.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Doubs (Opportunity 53). Runner-up: Östergötlands län (52). Contrarian pick: Östergötlands län — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 97).

Strengths
Energy cost (88) · Demographic outlook (78)
Red flags
Growth momentum (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 18 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (95)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Doubs
Growth momentum (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 18 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Growth momentum (EU pctl 14) — Östergötlands län may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Doubs leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.8
52.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
58.8
57.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
59.1
54.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
82.3
69.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
45.3
42.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
92.5
61.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
36.0
13.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.4% 5y
0.6% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.1% 5y
7.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€48,899
€34,114
Population density
39 /km²
104 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
1,396
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
202

All indicators · 90 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€20,690M
€16,656M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€478M
€287M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,955M
€3,300M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,526M
€2,995M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,227M
€921M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€5,657M
€2,525M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,200
€22,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
41,100 PPS
31,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€48,600
€33,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€19,140M
€8,575M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,614M
€1,453M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€37,294M
€19,541M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,557M
€2,831M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€2,514M
€221M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,050M
€4,668M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€5,323M
€4,955M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€21,535M
€16,623M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€98,712
€85,701
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€5,991M
€4,305M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
248,980
221,800
Self-employed persons
12,100
23,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
33,000
35,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.3%
73.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
28.1%
19.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.3%
8.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
252,600
246,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
29,713
32,760
Enterprise births
2,542
4,300
Enterprise deaths
2,007
3,341
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
6.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
4.4%
2.7%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.2%
5.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.5%
1.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.6%
37.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
50.5%
44.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
38.4%
14.7%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.0%
26.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
13.7%
7.8%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.0%
95.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,018,056
1,678,794
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
474 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
17,882 kt
12,572 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
16
2,076
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
13 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
380
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
6
92
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
293,176
337,208
Population aged 65+
101,237
117,003
Population aged under 15
78,033
92,516
Median age of population
41.1 yrs
41.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.5%
34.7%
Crude rate of total population change
0.3 /1k
-0.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.2 /1k
-0.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.0 /1k
9.1 /1k
Crude death rate
8.9 /1k
9.4 /1k
Live births
4,243
4,976
Deaths
4,213
5,142
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
61.1%
62.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.43
1.54
Population density (persons per km²)
45 /km²
104 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
600,594
556,630
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.7%
19.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
82.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.4%
15.1%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
185 /100k
506 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
859 /100k
853 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
228 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
40.4 /100k
9.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
688 /100k
67.6 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,470 /100k
280 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
23 /M
64 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Housing market
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,737 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
86 m
692 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
99 days/yr
72 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
1 days/yr
16 days/yr