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SE123 · FI1D9

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NUTS-3 SE123 · Sweden
Population
472,4462025
GDP
€23,102M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
12,261.1 km²
NUTS-3 FI1D9 · Finland
Population
418,3312025
GDP
€18,300M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
39,169.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Östergötlands län (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Pohjois-Pohjanmaa (46). Contrarian pick: Pohjois-Pohjanmaa — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 99).

Strengths
Energy cost (97) · Demographic outlook (95)
No red flags
Strengths
Energy cost (99) · Governance (98)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Östergötlands län
Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 30) — Pohjois-Pohjanmaa may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Östergötlands län leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.8
45.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
58.8
65.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
59.1
54.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
82.3
90.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
45.3
40.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
92.5
63.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
36.0
40.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.4% 5y
1.2% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.1% 5y
0.5% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€48,899
€43,746
Population density
39 /km²
11 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 91 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€20,690M
€16,005M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€478M
€589M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,955M
€3,770M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,526M
€3,178M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,227M
€1,134M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€5,657M
€2,702M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€22,200
€21,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
41,100 PPS
36,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€48,600
€43,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€19,140M
€13,860M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,614M
€3,205M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€37,294M
€24,815M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,557M
€2,094M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€2,514M
€719M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,050M
€3,677M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€5,323M
€4,133M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€21,535M
€15,953M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€98,712
€100,518
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€5,991M
€4,507M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
248,980
185,940
Self-employed persons
12,100
18,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
33,000
25,050
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.3%
77.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
28.1%
20.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.3%
9.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
252,600
207,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
29,713
27,063
Enterprise births
2,542
2,660
Enterprise deaths
2,007
2,298
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.3%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
4.4%
2.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.2%
4.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.5%
1.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
46.6%
39.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
50.5%
34.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
38.4%
26.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
33.0%
26.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
13.7%
8.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.0%
97.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,018,056
1,839,665
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
474 /1k
727 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
16
1,979
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
17,882 kt
20,771 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
1 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
473
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
6
50
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
293,176
256,873
Population aged 65+
101,237
90,111
Population aged under 15
78,033
71,347
Median age of population
41.1 yrs
40.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.5%
35.1%
Crude rate of total population change
0.3 /1k
0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.2 /1k
0.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.0 /1k
8.7 /1k
Crude death rate
8.9 /1k
9.2 /1k
Live births
4,243
3,631
Deaths
4,213
3,866
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
61.1%
62.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.43
1.47
Population density (persons per km²)
45 /km²
11 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
600,594
333,662
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.7%
17.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.7 yrs
81.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.4%
15.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
185 /100k
283 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
859 /100k
976 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
207 /100k
197 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
40.4 /100k
34.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
688 /100k
79.6 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,470 /100k
1,769 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
23 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.91
1.90
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.62
1.91
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.74
1.99
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
2.03
2.19
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.94
1.09
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.085/kWh
€0.067/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.073/kWh
€0.065/kWh
Housing market
Dwelling price per m² — old housing-company dwellings (Statistics Finland)
€1,920/m²
Average sold price, tenant-owned flats (SEK thousands, Statistics Sweden)
1,737 kSEK
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
86 m
88 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
1 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
99 days/yr
187 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
1 days/yr
2 days/yr