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2 regions side-by-side

RO415 · BG344

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NUTS-3 RO415 · Romania
Population
340,2362025
GDP
€4,872M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
61.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,771.4 km²
NUTS-3 BG344 · Bulgaria
Population
288,7362025
GDP
€6,473M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,155 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Стара Загора (Opportunity 34). Runner-up: Vâlcea (28). Contrarian pick: Vâlcea — leads the set on Digital readiness (EU pctl 48).

Strengths
Cost advantage (100) · Industrial base (75)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Resilience (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (97) · Energy cost (52)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Стара Загора
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Resilience (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 0) — Vâlcea may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Стара Загора leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
28.2
34.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
40.0
8.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
21.7
27.1
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
21.3
22.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
10.5
21.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
43.0
57.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.4% 5y
1.5% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.3% 5y
0.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€14,318
€22,417
Population density
59 /km²
56 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,414M
€5,647M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€180M
€97M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,068M
€3,699M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€705M
€1,343M
GVA — construction (F)
€425M
€151M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,259M
€636M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€7,500
€6,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
23,700 PPS
36,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€14,300
€22,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€4,369M
€1,872M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€531M
€382M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€8,535M
€4,209M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€397M
€272M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€34M
€28M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€684M
€450M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€798M
€614M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,953M
€2,811M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€34,341
€55,460
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€907M
€1,205M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
157,920
148,540
Self-employed persons
49,110
34,720
Employment in manufacturing (C)
23,360
36,090
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
60.8%
72.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.8%
16.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.8%
4.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
130,000
130,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
15,049
14,865
Enterprise births
1,645
1,411
Enterprise deaths
952
2,119
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.7%
4.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.2%
0.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.9%
2.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.1%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
16.8%
30.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
20.4%
33.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
3.0%
4.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
15.3%
21.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.5%
6.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
95.3%
91.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,436,997
657,087
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
428 /1k
450 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,816 kt
10,024 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
66
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
11 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
19
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
82
69
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
213,952
174,874
Population aged 65+
82,768
71,604
Population aged under 15
43,516
42,258
Median age of population
48.3 yrs
47.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.7%
40.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.2 /1k
-5.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.7 /1k
1.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.8 /1k
8.8 /1k
Crude death rate
9.6 /1k
16.3 /1k
Live births
1,966
2,546
Deaths
3,280
4,719
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
65.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.21
1.94
Population density (persons per km²)
60 /km²
57 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
163,604
207,025
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
36.0%
35.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
76.9 yrs
75.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.8%
27.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
718 /100k
797 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,743 /100k
2,099 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
189 /100k
215 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
9.1 /100k
16.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
98.0 /100k
62.0 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
195 /100k
365 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
111 /M
79 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.20
-0.07
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.39
0.25
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.44
-0.10
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.07
-0.14
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.55
0.33
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.155/kWh
€0.135/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.051/kWh
€0.041/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
442 m
386 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
34 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
104 days/yr
63 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
6 days/yr