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PT1C4 · EL631

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NUTS-3 PT1C4 · Portugal
Population
153,4302025
GDP
€3,555M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
7,400 km²
NUTS-3 EL631 · Greece
Population
183,7202025
GDP
€2,749M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,423 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Alentejo Central (Opportunity 35). Runner-up: Αιτωλοακαρνανία (22). Contrarian pick: Αιτωλοακαρνανία — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 88).

Strengths
Energy cost (90) · Air quality (82)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Energy cost (58)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Alentejo Central
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 4) — Αιτωλοακαρνανία may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Alentejo Central leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
35.1
21.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
68.0
31.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
36.0
27.5
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
82.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.7
4.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
44.3
5.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
63.2
42.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.0% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
15.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€23,167
€14,966
Population density
21 /km²
34 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,091M
€2,399M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€288M
€248M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€487M
€435M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€415M
€246M
GVA — construction (F)
€111M
€68M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€586M
€623M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,800
€11,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
28,200 PPS
17,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€23,200
€14,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€3,228M
€1,755M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€913M
€79M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€4,721M
€3,384M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€284M
€348M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€28M
€24M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€567M
€463M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€866M
€562M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,490M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€34,900
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€584M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
74,730
85,580
Self-employed persons
14,110
40,780
Employment in manufacturing (C)
10,060
5,410
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.8%
66.4%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
25.0%
27.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
9.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
76,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
17,147
14,011
Enterprise births
2,306
987
Enterprise deaths
1,959
614
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.0%
4.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
1.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.0%
1.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
26.2%
21.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.5%
26.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.8%
4.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.7%
14.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.8%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,203,637
451,824
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
318 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
16
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,369 kt
5,607 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
20 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
105
149
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
93,147
109,780
Population aged 65+
41,592
49,808
Population aged under 15
18,691
24,132
Median age of population
49.3 yrs
50.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
44.7%
45.4%
Crude rate of total population change
6.3 /1k
-13.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
13.8 /1k
-6.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
14.5 /1k
14.1 /1k
Live births
1,136
1,232
Deaths
2,340
2,603
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
64.7%
67.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.47
1.43
Population density (persons per km²)
21 /km²
36 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
118,105
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.7%
27.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.9 yrs
81.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.9%
23.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
221 /100k
316 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,085 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
231 /100k
234 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.3 /100k
2.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
39.1 /100k
5.4 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
107 /100k
84.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
576 /100k
303 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
137 /M
93 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
271 m
407 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
78 days/yr
60 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
17 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
20 days/yr