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PT196 · FRJ25

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NUTS-3 PT196 · Portugal
Population
210,6572025
GDP
€3,959M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,311.7 km²
NUTS-3 FRJ25 · France
Population
177,0682025
GDP
€6,031M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.3%2025
Active firms
51,3192026
Cadastral parcels
1,108,7312026
Area
5,226.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lot (Opportunity 40). Runner-up: Beiras e Serra da Estrela (39). Contrarian pick: Beiras e Serra da Estrela — leads the set on Air quality (EU pctl 93).

#1Lot
Strengths
Talent & skills (92) · Energy cost (88)
No red flags
Strengths
Air quality (93) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Lot
Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 22) — Beiras e Serra da Estrela may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsBeiras e Serra da Estrela · ManufacturingLot · OfficeLot · ResidentialBeiras e Serra da Estrela.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
39.1
39.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
72.5
65.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.1
57.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
92.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
14.7
25.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
70.0
91.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
64.4
37.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€18,793
€34,060
Population density
33 /km²
34 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
6,262
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
290

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,443M
€5,389M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€147M
€116M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€618M
€966M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€449M
€869M
GVA — construction (F)
€141M
€300M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€701M
€1,140M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,500
€23,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,900 PPS
31,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€18,800
€34,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,092M
€27,134M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,154M
€3,274M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€16,948M
€63,709M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€353M
€1,011M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€87M
€466M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€642M
€1,545M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€963M
€1,322M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,442M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€89,463
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,345M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
86,460
68,700
Self-employed persons
18,780
13,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
11,850
9,200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
79.0%
76.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.0%
15.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
74,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
21,506
14,989
Enterprise births
2,583
1,582
Enterprise deaths
2,293
1,482
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.8%
5.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
4.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.2%
7.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.8%
2.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
33.4%
47.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
46.4%
56.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
17.9%
18.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.5%
33.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.4%
14.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
88.3%
95.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,062,254
1,885,015
Mobility
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,095 kt
3,842 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
42
532
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
14 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
20
300
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
142
113
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
119,569
96,346
Population aged 65+
70,850
57,799
Population aged under 15
20,238
22,923
Median age of population
53.9 yrs
53.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
59.3%
60.0%
Crude rate of total population change
6.4 /1k
1.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
17.0 /1k
9.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
6.1 /1k
Crude death rate
16.2 /1k
13.9 /1k
Live births
1,199
1,072
Deaths
3,450
2,464
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
76.2%
83.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.26
1.45
Population density (persons per km²)
33 /km²
34 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
149,616
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.9%
23.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.0 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.0%
18.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
332 /100k
564 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
780 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
211 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
16.2 /100k
32.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
85.3 /100k
431 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
390 /100k
968 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
80 /M
60 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
992 m
348 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
19 days/yr
21 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
40 days/yr
26 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
7 days/yr