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PT193 · ITG11

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NUTS-3 PT193 · Portugal
Population
301,7642025
GDP
€7,655M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,457.1 km²
NUTS-3 ITG11 · Italy
Population
411,3932025
GDP
€8,290M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,466.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Região de Leiria (Opportunity 50). Runner-up: Trapani (36). Contrarian pick: Trapani — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 63).

Strengths
Energy cost (90) · Resilience (87)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Demographic outlook (63)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Região de Leiria
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 5) — Trapani may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Região de Leiria leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
49.8
36.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
87.0
36.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
48.1
36.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
62.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.0
32.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
70.0
7.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
76.0
45.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.2% 5y
Population
1.1% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€25,369
€20,150
Population density
123 /km²
167 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,657M
€7,447M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€151M
€406M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,768M
€629M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,577M
€466M
GVA — construction (F)
€511M
€497M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,528M
€1,688M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,500
€16,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,100 PPS
20,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€25,600
€20,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,092M
€24,161M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,154M
€2,214M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€16,948M
€40,753M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€612M
€1,198M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€85M
€68M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,318M
€1,914M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€991M
€2,308M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€7,779M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€63,996
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,900M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
143,540
131,800
Self-employed persons
20,200
39,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
32,540
9,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
79.0%
54.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
19.0%
33.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
12.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
144,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
40,148
25,891
Enterprise births
5,707
2,029
Enterprise deaths
4,222
1,411
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.2%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.8%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
33.4%
16.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
46.4%
24.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
17.9%
7.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.5%
15.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
10.4%
3.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
88.3%
90.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
929,019
3,372,531
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
733 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,671 kt
1,134 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
18
433
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
105
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
113
47
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
187,237
258,784
Population aged 65+
77,848
102,887
Population aged under 15
36,679
49,722
Median age of population
48.1 yrs
48.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
41.6%
39.8%
Crude rate of total population change
14.7 /1k
-3.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
18.6 /1k
1.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.0 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
12.2 /1k
Live births
2,213
2,731
Deaths
3,449
5,034
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
61.2%
59.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.36
1.26
Population density (persons per km²)
123 /km²
168 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
330,471
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.9%
44.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.0 yrs
82.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.0%
38.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
332 /100k
288 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,031 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
209 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
41.7 /100k
30.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
161 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
545 /100k
718 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
80 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.045/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
64 m
186 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
15 days/yr
71 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
0 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
8 days/yr
6 days/yr